Head-to-Head

Holger Rune vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇩🇰Holger Rune

#195 · 23 yrs · R

4–3

7 meetings · sets 9–7

🇦🇷Sebastian Baez

#53 · 25 yrs · R

Holger Rune and Sebastian Baez have met 7 times since 2021; Holger Rune leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at Chile Dove Men+Care Open - Santiago in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Baez leads 3–2. On hard courts Rune leads 2–0. Rune has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rune has taken 9 sets to Baez's 7. Their most recent meeting: Holger Rune won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Rune	Baez
Indicator	Holger Rune		Sebastian Baez
Wins in straight sets	50%	2/4	76%	26/34
Wins a set when losing	50%	1/2	23%	6/26
Goes to a deciding set	50%	3/6	23%	14/60
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	40%	2/5	61%	17/28
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	100%	1/1	54%	15/28
Tiebreak sets won	33%	1/3	58%	7/12
Wins after taking set 1	67%	2/3	83%	29/35
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	67%	2/3	74%	26/35

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rune 3, Baez 2).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Rune

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Baez

🎾 All-Court

Tactical versatilityNet approach abilitySurface adaptabilityWell-rounded game

Matchup analysis

💥 Big Hitter vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 656 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

7 career meetings, newest first

Oct 3, 2025

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai

H Hard · 2nd Round

Rune

Apr 16, 2025

Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona

C Clay · 2nd Round

Rune

May 13, 2024

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

C Clay · 3rd Round

Baez

Oct 26, 2023

Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel

H Hard · 2nd Round

76²

Rune

Feb 8, 2022

Argentina Open - Buenos Aires

C Clay · 1st Round

6⁴7

Baez

Mar 15, 2021

Santiago Challenger

C Clay · 1st Round

Baez

Mar 9, 2021

Chile Dove Men+Care Open - Santiago

C Clay · 1st Round

Rune

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Rune	Baez
W-L	2–2	8–9
Avg odds	1.58	2.43
ROI %	-17.5%	-17.4%
Units P/L	-0.70u	-2.95u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Rune	Baez
Countries	2	1
Events	2	3
Matches	2	4
Distance	1,092 mi · 1,758 km	1,611 mi · 2,592 km
Route	JPN → CHN	CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 1 shared opponent, both Rune and Baez posted a 100% win rate.

Opponent	Rune	Baez
Grigor Dimitrov	W 36 63 76	W 16 63 64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Rune

LLWWWWLW

Daniel Altmaier

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

6⁵7

Oct 7

Kyrian Jacquet

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

Oct 1

Grigor Dimitrov

Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4

76⁴

Sep 19

Iliyan Radulov

Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 2

Sep 18

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · Quarterfinals

6⁴7

Oct 17

Marton Fucsovics

BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · 2nd Round

Oct 16

Valentin Vacherot

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · Quarterfinals

6⁴7

Oct 9

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 4th Round

6⁷7

Oct 7

Baez

LWLLLLWL

Valentin Vacherot

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

6⁵7

Oct 10

Marcos Giron

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

Oct 8

Juncheng Shang

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round

Oct 1

Jenson Brooksby

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round

Sep 23

Brandon Nakashima

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

Aug 31

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round

Aug 26

Hugo Grenier

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round

76²

Aug 26

Hubert Hurkacz

Cancun Challenger · Final

Aug 24

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ RuneRune ahead↓ Baez

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–65 matches

Metric	Rune	Baez
Matches won	67%	54%
Sets won	60%	52%
Games won	53%	50%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

Stage	Rune	Baez
ATP 500	2	0
ATP 250	1	1
ATP Masters 1000	1	1
ATP Challenger Tour	0	1

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

Surface	Rune	Baez
Hard	2	0
Clay	2	3

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Holger Rune vs Sebastian Baez FAQ

Holger Rune leads the head-to-head 4–3 over 7 meetings.

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Style Matchup

Previous meetings

Player ROI

Travel

Common opponents

Recent Form

Rivalry momentum

Win rate

Record by tier

By surface

More Rune rivalries

More Baez rivalries

Holger Rune vs Sebastian Baez FAQ

Who leads the Holger Rune vs Sebastian Baez head-to-head?

Who won the last Holger Rune vs Sebastian Baez match?

How many times have Holger Rune and Sebastian Baez played?

Who leads the Holger Rune vs Sebastian Baez head-to-head on clay courts?

When did Holger Rune and Sebastian Baez last play each other?