Holger Rune vs Jannik SinnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Holger Rune and Jannik Sinner have met 4 times since 2023; Jannik Sinner leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo in 2023 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts Sinner leads 2–0. Sinner has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Rune has taken 5 sets to Sinner's 8. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rune | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Holger Rune | Jannik Sinner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 2/4 | 91% | 42/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 1/2 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 3/6 | 11% | 5/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 2/5 | 89% | 42/47 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 100% | 44/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 95% | 42/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rune 0, Sinner 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rune
💥 Big Hitter
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Holger Rune.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 20, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Apr 12, 2024
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 16, 2023
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 15, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rune | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | - |
| ROI % | -17.5% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.70u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rune | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | — |
| Route | JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Rune's 0%).
| Opponent | Rune | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Altmaier | L 61 67 46 | W 60 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniel Altmaier
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Kyrian Jacquet
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Grigor Dimitrov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Iliyan Radulov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · Quarterfinals
Oct 17
Marton Fucsovics
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · 2nd Round
Oct 16
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 4th Round
Oct 7
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–61 matches
| Metric | Rune | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 95% |
| Sets won | 60% | 89% |
| Games won | 53% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rune | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rune | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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