Holger Rune vs Jannik SinnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Holger Rune and Jannik Sinner have met 4 times since 2023; Jannik Sinner leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo in 2023 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts Sinner leads 2–0. Sinner has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Rune has taken 5 sets to Sinner's 8. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rune | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Holger Rune | Jannik Sinner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 6/8 | 88% | 46/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 2/4 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 4/12 | 13% | 7/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 6/12 | 87% | 46/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | — | ||
| Tiebreak sets won | 17% | 1/6 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 50/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 6/8 | 92% | 46/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rune 0, Sinner 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rune
🎯 Baseliner
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 179 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Holger Rune.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 20, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Apr 12, 2024
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 16, 2023
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 15, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rune | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 7–0 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.08 |
| ROI % | - | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Rune's 33%).
| Opponent | Rune | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Brooksby | L 36 36 | W 64 63 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 64 | W 63 60 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 36 67 | W 75 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · Quarterfinals
Oct 17
Marton Fucsovics
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · 2nd Round
Oct 16
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 4th Round
Oct 7
Ugo Humbert
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Sebastian Baez
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Jenson Brooksby
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Sep 28
Ethan Quinn
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Sep 27
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–72 matches
| Metric | Rune | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 94% |
| Sets won | 64% | 87% |
| Games won | 54% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rune | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Finals | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rune | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.