Holger Rune vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Holger Rune and Novak Djokovic have met 6 times since 2021; Novak Djokovic leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Djokovic leads 3–1. Djokovic has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rune leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rune has taken 7 sets to Djokovic's 12. Their most recent meeting: Novak Djokovic won at Wimbledon - London (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rune | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Holger Rune | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 6/8 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 2/4 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 4/12 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 6/12 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | — | ||
| Tiebreak sets won | 17% | 1/6 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 7/8 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 6/8 | 50% | 5/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rune 0, Djokovic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rune
🎯 Baseliner
Djokovic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jul 8, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Nov 12, 2023
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 3, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 17, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 6, 2022
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Final
Aug 31, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rune | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.71 |
| ROI % | - | -12.4% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rune | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Djokovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Rune's 33%).
| Opponent | Rune | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 64 67 63 | W 57 75 61 64 |
| Pedro Martinez | L 16 64 67 | W 63 62 62 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 62 67 46 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · Quarterfinals
Oct 17
Marton Fucsovics
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · 2nd Round
Oct 16
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 4th Round
Oct 7
Ugo Humbert
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Sebastian Baez
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Jenson Brooksby
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Sep 28
Ethan Quinn
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Sep 27
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Arthur Rinderknech
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Yibing Wu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–31 matches
| Metric | Rune | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 74% |
| Sets won | 64% | 65% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rune | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rune | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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