Holger Rune vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Holger Rune and Novak Djokovic have met 6 times since 2021; Novak Djokovic leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Djokovic leads 3–1. Djokovic has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rune leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rune has taken 7 sets to Djokovic's 12. Their most recent meeting: Novak Djokovic won at Wimbledon - London (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rune | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Holger Rune | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 2/4 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 1/2 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 3/6 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 2/5 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 50% | 4/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rune 0, Djokovic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rune
💥 Big Hitter
Djokovic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jul 8, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Nov 12, 2023
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 3, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 17, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 6, 2022
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Final
Aug 31, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rune | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | -17.5% | +17.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.70u | +1.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rune | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniel Altmaier
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Kyrian Jacquet
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Grigor Dimitrov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Iliyan Radulov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · Quarterfinals
Oct 17
Marton Fucsovics
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm · 2nd Round
Oct 16
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 4th Round
Oct 7
Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Nuno Borges
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–28 matches
| Metric | Rune | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 71% |
| Sets won | 60% | 63% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rune | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rune | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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