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Head-to-Head

Frances Tiafoe vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Frances Tiafoe

🇺🇸Frances Tiafoe

#10 · 28 yrs · R

2–4

6 meetings · sets 6–8

Tommy Paul

🇺🇸Tommy Paul

#18 · 29 yrs · R

Frances Tiafoe and Tommy Paul have met 6 times since 2016; Tommy Paul leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Lexington in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Paul leads 3–2. Paul has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 6 sets to Paul's 8. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorTiafoePaul
Wins in straight sets61%57%
Wins a set when losing36%57%
Goes to a deciding set38%48%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite54%38%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog68%100%
Tiebreak sets won50%62%
Wins after taking set 196%79%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 171%61%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 2, Paul 2).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Tiafoe

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Paul

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

Both Frances Tiafoe and Tommy Paul are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.

Previous meetings

6 career meetings, newest first

Apr 4, 2026

US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston

C Clay · Semifinals

57
64
677
Paul

Feb 17, 2024

Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach

H Hard · Semifinals

26
26
Paul

Jan 10, 2022

Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide

H Hard · 1st Round

26
36
Paul

Nov 12, 2021

Stockholm Open - Stockholm

H Hard · Semifinals

75
657
46
Paul

Feb 20, 2020

Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach

H Hard · 2nd Round

75
764
Tiafoe

Jul 13, 2016

Lexington

H Hard · Round of 32

63
61
Tiafoe

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeTiafoePaul
1 or more100%100%
3 or more89%92%
5 or more56%75%
10 or more17%17%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricTiafoePaul
W-L13–58–5
Avg odds2.041.81
ROI %+23.4%+1.3%
Units P/L+4.21u+0.17u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricTiafoePaul
Countries22
Events22
Matches42
Distance1,092 mi · 1,758 km1,092 mi · 1,758 km
RouteJPN → CHNJPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Tiafoe's 60%).

OpponentTiafoePaul
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
L
67
64
67
W
63
76
Arthur Fils
L
36
57
L
76
67
67
Alexander Bublik
L
64
67
67
64
36
W
64
36
67
61
63
Flavio Cobolli
W
62
76
L
62
36
46
Learner Tien
W
64
46
64
L
36
26
Alexander Zverev
L
36
46
W
46
76
64
Lorenzo Sonego
W
63
64
W
63
62
64
Hubert Hurkacz
W
67
76
64
67
64
W
64
67
63
Taylor Fritz
W
64
64
W
64
63
Daniel Altmaier
W
61
63
W
62
75

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Tiafoe
LWLWLWWW
L

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

647
64
667

Oct 11

W

Yannick Hanfmann

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

64
64

Oct 9

L

Arthur Fils

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

36
57

Oct 2

W

Kei Nishikori

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

64
64

Oct 1

L

Ben Shelton

U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals

64
36
36
57

Sep 11

W

Alex Michelsen

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

57
36
75
63
766

Sep 8

W

Daniil Medvedev

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

761
64
76

Sep 6

W

Valentin Vacherot

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

64
62
64

Sep 5

Paul
WLLWWWLW
W

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

62
62

Oct 10

L

Alejandro Tabilo

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

16
26

Sep 30

L

Carlos Alcaraz

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

46
36
46

Sep 6

W

Alexander Bublik

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

64
36
647
61
63

Sep 4

W

Dino Prizmic

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

62
63
57
64

Sep 3

W

Chak Pong Marco Lam

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

637
61
63
63

Aug 30

L

Flavio Cobolli

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

62
36
46

Aug 20

W

Alexander Zverev

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

46
766
64

Aug 19

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ TiafoePaul ahead↓ Paul

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–63 matches

MetricTiafoePaul
Matches won71%69%
Sets won63%64%
Games won54%54%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageTiafoePaul
ATP 25014
ATP Challenger Tour10

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceTiafoePaul
Hard23
Clay01

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Frances Tiafoe vs Tommy Paul FAQ

Tommy Paul leads the head-to-head 4–2 over 6 meetings.