Elena Rybakina vs Karolina MuchovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 5–5
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Elena Rybakina and Karolina Muchova have met 4 times since 2019; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Us Open in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Muchova leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rybakina leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 5 sets to Muchova's 5. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Karolina Muchova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 40/60 | 66% | 27/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 27/72 | 33% | 18/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 39/64 | 53% | 20/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 47/51 | 94% | 33/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 40/51 | 77% | 27/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 1, Muchova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Muchova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Elena Rybakina and Karolina Muchova are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,080 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 19, 2026
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · Final
Jan 9, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 16, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 27, 2019
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Karolina Muchova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–2 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 1.27 |
| ROI % | +28.5% | -10.1% |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | -0.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Rybakina and Muchova posted a 70% win rate.
| Opponent | Rybakina | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | W 61 64 | W 75 16 76 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 64 46 64 | W 46 64 62 |
| Katie Boulter | L 57 62 46 | W 76 61 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 64 57 62 | L 36 46 |
| Coco Gauff | W 36 64 64 | W 62 16 76 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 64 64 | L 62 16 26 |
| Iga Swiatek | L | L 26 06 |
| Elise Mertens | L 67 16 | W 16 63 60 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 75 | W 63 62 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 46 63 75 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Liudmila Samsonova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Katie Boulter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Katie Boulter
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sinja Kraus
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–72 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 76% |
| Sets won | 74% | 68% |
| Games won | 58% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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