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Head-to-Head

Elena Rybakina vs Karolina MuchovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Elena Rybakina

🇰🇿Elena Rybakina

#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed

8
2–2

4 meetings · sets 5–5

Karolina Muchova

🇨🇿Karolina Muchova

#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed

7w

Elena Rybakina and Karolina Muchova have met 4 times since 2019; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Us Open in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Muchova leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rybakina leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 5 sets to Muchova's 5. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorRybakinaMuchova
Wins in straight sets68%63%
Wins a set when losing62%38%
Goes to a deciding set37%38%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite60%53%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog71%69%
Tiebreak sets won53%67%
Wins after taking set 194%91%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 180%74%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 1, Muchova 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Rybakina

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Muchova

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

4 career meetings, newest first

Apr 19, 2026

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart

C Clay · Final

75
61
Rybakina

Jan 9, 2026

Brisbane International - Brisbane

H Hard · Quarterfinals

26
62
46
Muchova

Mar 16, 2023

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · Quarterfinals

764
26
64
Rybakina

Aug 27, 2019

Us Open

H Hard · Round of 128

46
46
Muchova

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeRybakinaMuchova
1 or more100%100%
3 or more73%75%
5 or more73%50%
10 or more27%8%
15 or more13%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricRybakinaMuchova
W-L11–38–2
Avg odds1.321.51
ROI %+6.4%+16.3%
Units P/L+0.90u+1.63u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricRybakinaMuchova
Countries2—
Events2—
Matches8—
Distance411 mi · 662 km—
RouteCAN → POL—

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Rybakina's 60%).

OpponentRybakinaMuchova
Diana Shnaider
W
64
64
L
62
16
26
Coco Gauff
W
57
62
62
W
62
16
76
Naomi Osaka
W
46
76
64
W
76
64
Linda Noskova
W
63
64
L
26
75
36
Elise Mertens
L
67
16
W
16
63
60
Shuai Zhang
W
63
75
W
63
62
Elena Gabriela Ruse
W
46
63
75
W
64
64
Alexandra Eala
L
57
46
W
60
62
Katie Boulter
L
57
62
46
W
63
75
Elina Svitolina
L
62
46
46
W
64
26
64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Rybakina
WWWWWWWW
W

Diana Shnaider

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

64
64

Aug 20

W

Magdalena Frech

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

64
762

Aug 17

W

Taylor Townsend

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
64

Aug 16

W

Coco Gauff

National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals

57
62
62

Aug 13

W

Naomi Osaka

National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals

46
765
64

Aug 12

W

Liudmila Samsonova

National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round

64
46
64

Aug 9

W

Ann Li

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

62
75

Aug 7

W

Daria Kasatkina

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

63
57
64

Aug 5

Muchova
LWWWWWWW
L

Linda Noskova

Wimbledon - London · Final

26
75
36

Jul 11

W

Coco Gauff

Wimbledon - London · Semifinals

62
16
7610

Jul 9

W

Naomi Osaka

Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals

764
64

Jul 7

W

Barbora Krejcikova

Wimbledon - London · 4th Round

75
57
63

Jul 5

W

Mananchaya Sawangkaew

Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round

62
761

Jul 3

W

Shuai Zhang

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

63
62

Jul 1

W

Anastasia Zakharova

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

63
62

Jun 29

W

Elena Gabriela Ruse

Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · Semifinals

64
64

Jun 26

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ Rybakinalevel↓ Muchova

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–70 matches

MetricRybakinaMuchova
Matches won81%75%
Sets won73%67%
Games won58%55%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageRybakinaMuchova
Finals10
Grand Slam01
WTA 50011
WTA 100010

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceRybakinaMuchova
Hard12
Clay10

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Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchova FAQ

The head-to-head is level at 2–2 over 4 meetings.