Denis Shapovalov and Tommy Paul have met 4 times since 2021; they are level 2–2. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Dallas (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 2,683 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
4 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | -38.1% | +9.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.43u | +1.59u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Shapovalov's 30%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | W 26 63 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 57 64 63 | W 63 76 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | W 76 63 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 46 | L 64 76 46 67 57 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 57 36 | W 62 75 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 26 76 | W 67 76 76 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 46 26 | W 62 36 76 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 75 46 36 | L 26 36 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 57 | W 46 64 63 |
| Adam Walton | W 62 62 | W 76 63 |
Last five matches per player
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marin Cilic
Libema Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Jack Pinnington Jones
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jaime Faria
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Mariano Navone
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 25
Alex Molcan
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Tallon Griekspoor
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 32
Apr 14
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Casper Ruud
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Rinky Hijikata
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Alex de Minaur
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Semifinals
May 22
Daniel Altmaier
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 21
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–46 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 70% |
| Sets won | 48% | 65% |
| Games won | 50% | 55% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
