Denis Shapovalov vs Taylor FritzPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¨π¦Denis Shapovalov
#42 Β· 27 yrs Β· L
10 meetings Β· sets 13β14

πΊπΈTaylor Fritz
#12 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
Denis Shapovalov and Taylor Fritz have met 10 times since 2018; they are level 5β5. Their first meeting came at Delray Beach in 2018 on hard. On hard courts they are level 5β5. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 13 sets to Fritz's 14. Their most recent meeting: Taylor Fritz won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Taylor Fritz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 18/39 | 44% | 21/48 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 9/26 | 35% | 15/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 60% | 18/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | 59% | 16/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 2, Fritz 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
π₯ Big Hitter
Fritz
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
10 career meetings, newest first
Mar 24, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Feb 6, 2025
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Mar 26, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Mar 1, 2023
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Oct 26, 2022
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Oct 8, 2022
Rakuten Japan Open - Tokyo
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Sep 30, 2021
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Mar 11, 2021
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 4, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Feb 17, 2018
Delray Beach
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Taylor Fritz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 10 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 50% | 8/16 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 6% | 1/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12β5 | 11β5 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | +12.3% | -11.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.09u | -1.78u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 2,080 mi Β· 3,347 km | 7,032 mi Β· 11,317 km |
| Route | CHN β JPN | GBR β JPN β CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Fritz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Shapovalov's 30%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | L | L 36 64 1113 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 76 36 36 | L 67 67 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 62 63 | W 61 64 76 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 46 | W 67 76 76 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 57 64 57 | W 76 64 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 76 62 | W 62 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | L 67 36 |
| Marin Cilic | L 76 46 57 | W 76 76 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | W 63 67 63 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 62 36 64 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 5
Matteo Arnaldi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Carlos Alcaraz
Laver Cup - London Β· Round Robin
Sep 26
Francisco Cerundolo
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 5
Mattia Bellucci
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Darwin Blanch
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 45β61 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 62% |
| Sets won | 52% | 59% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 5 |
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