Denis Shapovalov vs Miomir KecmanovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Miomir Kecmanovic have met 6 times since 2019; Denis Shapovalov leads 6–0. Their first meeting came at Winston-Salem in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 6–0. Shapovalov has won the last 6 meetings. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 13 sets to Kecmanovic's 4. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Kecmanovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Miomir Kecmanovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 56% | 14/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 18/39 | 54% | 28/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 9/26 | 31% | 11/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | 52% | 14/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 2, Kecmanovic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Kecmanovic
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 30, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 5, 2025
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 1, 2024
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 27, 2023
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 2, 2019
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 13, 2019
Winston-Salem
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Kecmanovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Miomir Kecmanovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 10 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 5–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | +12.3% | -45.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.09u | -6.34u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Kecmanovic's 40%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 75 61 | W 62 64 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 75 36 64 | W 76 63 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 67 63 62 | L 67 63 67 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 46 | L 75 36 46 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 76 62 | L 36 46 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 57 64 | L 26 64 67 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 64 62 | W 62 63 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 67 | L 64 36 67 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 36 26 | L 64 36 76 26 36 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 26 16 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Jakub Mensik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Sho Shimabukuro
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Edas Butvilas
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SRB-LTU 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Denis Shapovalov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Sho Shimabukuro
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–57 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 46% |
| Sets won | 52% | 50% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 4 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 6 | 0 |
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