Denis Shapovalov vs Marcos GironPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Marcos Giron have met 5 times since 2024; Marcos Giron leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston in 2024 on clay. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 2–1. On clay courts Giron leads 2–0. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 4 sets to Giron's 8. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Marcos Giron | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 8/18 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 15/36 | 49% | 23/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 7/23 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 79% | 15/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 8/18 | 54% | 14/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 0, Giron 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Giron
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 21, 2025
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 7, 2025
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 27, 2025
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 8, 2025
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 2, 2024
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Marcos Giron | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 2.52 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | -46.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.86u | -5.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km | 737 mi · 1,186 km |
| Route | MEX → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs Giron's 25%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Rinky Hijikata | W 26 63 62 | L 57 76 16 |
| Ben Shelton | L 64 46 67 | L 76 46 67 |
| Marin Cilic | L 76 46 57 | L 57 46 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 26 | W 46 75 63 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 64 | W 62 36 64 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 46 | L 64 67 46 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 57 64 63 | L 76 16 46 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 57 36 | L 26 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Corentin Moutet
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–52 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 44% |
| Sets won | 43% | 49% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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