Daniil Medvedev and Matteo Arnaldi have met 4 times since 2023; Daniil Medvedev leads 4–0. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai (2024).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
🤖 Servebot
Arnaldi
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,729 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
4 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| 1 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 53% | 10/19 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/19 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.19 |
| ROI % | -10.5% | +47.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.36u | +8.47u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Medvedev's 60%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 76 46 | W 46 62 76 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 06 06 | W 75 52 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 62 | W 76 67 36 76 64 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 36 46 | W 76 57 63 62 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 64 64 | W 46 76 64 |
| Jaume Munar | W 61 63 | W 63 36 63 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 67 62 | W 63 67 76 |
| Quentin Halys | W 67 63 64 62 | L 16 76 67 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 06 64 57 | L 63 62 57 46 36 |
| Rei Sakamoto | W 67 63 61 | W 76 64 |
Last five matches per player
Terence Atmane
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 16
Jun 17
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Marin Cilic
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Kamil Majchrzak
Libema Open · Semifinals
Jun 13
Thijs Boogaard
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 32
Jun 9
Adam Walton
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Jannik Sinner
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 16
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Raphael Collignon
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Tallon Griekspoor
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Rafael Jodar
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Alex de Minaur
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jaume Munar
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 6
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–69 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 51% |
| Sets won | 65% | 49% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 3 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
