Lorenzo Musetti and Matteo Arnaldi have met 4 times since 2019; Lorenzo Musetti leads 4–0. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Australian Open (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Arnaldi
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 2,635 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
4 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Musetti | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Lorenzo Musetti | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 53% | 10/19 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/19 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 2.19 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | +47.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.48u | +8.47u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Arnaldi's 50%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Raphael Collignon | W 46 76 75 32 | W 64 67 57 64 76 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 75 | W 67 63 76 63 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 76 64 | L 63 62 57 46 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 36 75 | W 46 76 64 |
| Jaume Munar | W 63 60 61 | W 63 36 63 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 76 | W 64 64 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 62 64 | L 16 76 46 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 57 16 | L 57 26 |
| Alexander Shevchenko | W 63 61 | L 67 76 26 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 62 75 64 | L 36 46 |
Last five matches per player
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Francisco Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jiri Lehecka
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Tallon Griekspoor
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 24
Arthur Fils
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Corentin Moutet
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 16
Apr 16
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Raphael Collignon
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Tallon Griekspoor
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Rafael Jodar
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Alex de Minaur
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jaume Munar
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 6
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–53 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 51% |
| Sets won | 61% | 49% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |