Arthur Fils vs Matteo ArnaldiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Fils and Matteo Arnaldi have met 5 times since 2023; Matteo Arnaldi leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Arnaldi leads 3–0. On hard courts Arnaldi leads 2–0. Arnaldi has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Fils has taken 4 sets to Arnaldi's 12. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Arnaldi won at Olympics - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fils | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Fils | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 20/30 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/7 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 10/37 | 58% | 21/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 15/27 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 13/21 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 25/25 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 47% | 7/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fils 0, Arnaldi 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fils
💥 Big Hitter
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Arthur Fils.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 28, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
May 27, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 20, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 31, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 25, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fils | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Fils | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 10 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fils | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–2 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.45 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | +17.6% | -33.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.94u | -2.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fils | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 3 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fils has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Arnaldi's 50%).
| Opponent | Fils | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 16 60 | W 76 67 36 76 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 63 64 | W 46 76 64 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 61 | L 76 46 46 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 67 36 | L 16 64 36 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 46 57 63 36 | W 75 52 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 75 61 63 | W 64 67 57 64 76 |
| Quentin Halys | W 61 76 | L 63 16 67 36 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 60 61 | W 76 57 63 62 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 62 76 | L 46 26 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 36 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Alex de Minaur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Yannick Hanfmann
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Damir Dzumhur
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Federico Agustin Gomez
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–42 matches
| Metric | Fils | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 50% |
| Sets won | 70% | 49% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fils | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fils | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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