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Head-to-Head

Arthur Fils vs Matteo ArnaldiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Arthur Fils

🇫🇷Arthur Fils

#11 · 22 yrs · R

0–5

5 meetings · sets 4–12

Matteo Arnaldi

🇮🇹Matteo Arnaldi

#38 · 25 yrs · R

Arthur Fils and Matteo Arnaldi have met 5 times since 2023; Matteo Arnaldi leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Arnaldi leads 3–0. On hard courts Arnaldi leads 2–0. Arnaldi has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Fils has taken 4 sets to Arnaldi's 12. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Arnaldi won at Olympics - Paris (2024).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorFilsArnaldi
Wins in straight sets66%42%
Wins a set when losing13%56%
Goes to a deciding set30%57%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite56%31%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog38%67%
Tiebreak sets won62%62%
Wins after taking set 1100%87%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 179%53%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fils 0, Arnaldi 2).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Fils

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Arnaldi

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

5 career meetings, newest first

Jul 28, 2024

Olympics - Paris

C Clay · 1st Round

46
677
Arnaldi

May 27, 2024

French Open - Paris

C Clay · 1st Round

36
64
46
26
Arnaldi

Mar 20, 2024

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 1st Round

36
46
Arnaldi

Aug 31, 2023

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 2nd Round

63
57
657
75
46
Arnaldi

Apr 25, 2023

ATP Masters 1000 Madrid

C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying

63
36
26
Arnaldi

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeFilsArnaldi
1 or more100%100%
3 or more94%88%
5 or more83%63%
10 or more28%13%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricFilsArnaldi
W-L14–33–5
Avg odds1.353.31
ROI %+11.1%-27.4%
Units P/L+1.89u-2.19u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricFilsArnaldi
Countries22
Events22
Matches64
Distance1,092 mi · 1,758 km1,092 mi · 1,758 km
RouteJPN → CHNJPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Fils has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Arnaldi's 50%).

OpponentFilsArnaldi
Carlos Alcaraz
L
26
16
L
67
16
Frances Tiafoe
W
63
75
W
76
67
36
76
64
Stefanos Tsitsipas
L
64
67
16
46
W
76
57
63
62
Alex de Minaur
W
63
64
W
46
76
64
Yannick Hanfmann
W
76
61
L
76
46
46
Rafael Jodar
L
67
36
L
16
64
36
Lorenzo Musetti
W
63
64
L
Matteo Berrettini
L
46
57
63
36
W
Raphael Collignon
W
75
61
63
W
64
67
57
64
76
Quentin Halys
W
61
76
L
63
16
67
36

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Fils
WLWWWWLW
W

Pavel Kotov

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

63
64

Oct 10

L

Valentin Vacherot

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals

57
64
46

Oct 4

W

Frances Tiafoe

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

63
75

Oct 2

W

Luca Van Assche

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

63
62

Sep 30

W

Kamil Majchrzak

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying

62
36
61

Sep 29

W

Martin Damm

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying

26
61
61

Sep 28

L

Stefanos Tsitsipas

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

64
637
16
46

Aug 31

W

Frances Tiafoe

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final

63
16
60

Aug 23

Arnaldi
LWLWLLLW
L

Taylor Fritz

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

57
46

Oct 10

W

Bernard Tomic

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

63
61

Oct 8

L

Carlos Alcaraz

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

667
16

Oct 3

W

Rei Sakamoto

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

26
64
64

Sep 30

L

James Duckworth

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

75
36
26
687

Aug 31

L

Martin Landaluce

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
64
46

Aug 15

L

Tallon Griekspoor

National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round

63
46
36

Aug 7

W

Fabian Marozsan

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

75
26
64

Aug 6

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ FilsArnaldi ahead↓ Arnaldi

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–47 matches

MetricFilsArnaldi
Matches won77%52%
Sets won68%50%
Games won56%49%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageFilsArnaldi
Grand Slam02
Other01
ATP Masters 100002

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceFilsArnaldi
Hard02
Clay03

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Arthur Fils vs Matteo Arnaldi FAQ

Matteo Arnaldi leads the head-to-head 5–0 over 5 meetings.