Daniil Medvedev vs Dominic ThiemPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Dominic Thiem have met 6 times since 2018; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at St. Petersburg in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 3–2. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, split 1–1. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 7 sets to Thiem's 8. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Thiem | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Dominic Thiem | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 2, Thiem 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Thiem
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Dominic Thiem.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Oct 27, 2022
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 22, 2020
Nitto ATP Finals - London
H Hard · Final
Sep 11, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 9, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 28, 2019
Barcelona
C Clay · Final
Sep 16, 2018
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | - |
| ROI % | -15.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 9 | — |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Luciano Darderi
Erste Bank Open - Vienna · 1st Round
Oct 22
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 26
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 23
Juan Pablo Varillas
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 15
Gael Monfils
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 22
Franco Agamenone
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 20
Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 68–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | - |
| Sets won | 66% | - |
| Games won | 56% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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