Dominic Thiem vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dominic Thiem and Marin Cilic have met 5 times since 2016; Dominic Thiem leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Brisbane in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Thiem leads 3–1. Across all meetings Thiem has taken 11 sets to Cilic's 4. Their most recent meeting: Marin Cilic won at Tel Aviv (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Thiem | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dominic Thiem | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 74% | 14/19 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 25% | 5/20 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 26% | 10/39 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 65% | 11/17 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 48% | 10/21 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 42% | 8/19 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 83% | 15/18 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 78% | 14/18 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Thiem 1, Cilic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Thiem
🎯 Baseliner
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Sep 28, 2022
Tel Aviv
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 28, 2020
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Sep 6, 2020
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 8, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 8, 2016
Brisbane
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Thiem | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.30 |
| ROI % | - | -34.5% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Thiem | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luciano Darderi
Vienna · Round of 32
Oct 22
Ben Shelton
US Open · Round of 128
Aug 26
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Kitzbuhel · Round of 32
Jul 23
Juan Pablo Varillas
Gstaad · Round of 32
Jul 15
Gael Monfils
Mallorca · Round of 32
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 22
Franco Agamenone
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 20
Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 23
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Nuno Borges
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Denis Shapovalov
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–44 matches
| Metric | Thiem | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 48% |
| Sets won | - | 48% |
| Games won | - | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Thiem | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Thiem | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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