Daniil Medvedev vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Marin Cilic have met 6 times since 2019; Daniil Medvedev leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2019 on hard. On grass courts Medvedev leads 3–0. On hard courts Medvedev leads 2–0. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 12 sets to Cilic's 6. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 29% | 10/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 2, Cilic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jun 29, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 13, 2026
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Quarterfinals
May 30, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
Dec 5, 2021
Davis Cup, Finals, F, RUS-CRO 2-0
H Hard · Rubber 2
Jul 3, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Aug 1, 2019
Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | -2.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 9 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Cilic's 40%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 67 46 67 | L 75 26 26 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 76 67 16 | W 26 64 76 |
| Daniel Merida | W 36 63 75 62 | L 63 16 16 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 76 46 | L 26 36 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 67 63 36 | L 57 36 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 67 62 | W 36 76 63 |
| Adam Walton | L 26 61 16 61 46 | W 64 61 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 16 64 75 | L 46 46 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 63 62 | W 75 63 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 64 62 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 50% |
| Sets won | 66% | 50% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 3 | 0 |
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