Marin Cilic and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 5 times since 2016; Marin Cilic leads 5–0. Their most recent meeting: Marin Cilic won at Girona (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 334 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Marin Cilic.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
5 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cilic | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Marin Cilic | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cilic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -27.5% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.75u | +0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Cilic's 50%).
| Opponent | Cilic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | W 67 64 75 | W 62 64 |
| Martin Landaluce | L 46 46 | W 62 36 63 |
Last five matches per player
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Nuno Borges
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Denis Shapovalov
Libema Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Moise Kouame
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Martin Landaluce
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 9
Marcos Giron
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Zizou Bergs
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 128
Apr 22
Rafael Jodar
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Jiri Lehecka
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Sebastian Baez
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Francisco Comesana
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 6
Martin Damm
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–57 matches
| Metric | Cilic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 67% |
| Sets won | 53% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cilic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cilic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
