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Head-to-Head

Carlos Alcaraz vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Carlos Alcaraz

🇪🇸Carlos Alcaraz

#3 · 23 yrs · R

20w
4–1

5 meetings · sets 10–4

Marin Cilic

🇭🇷Marin Cilic

#81 · 37 yrs · R

Carlos Alcaraz and Marin Cilic have met 5 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril in 2021 on clay. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 4–0. Alcaraz has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 10 sets to Cilic's 4. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorAlcarazCilic
Wins in straight sets80%74%
Wins a set when losing33%25%
Goes to a deciding set23%26%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite69%65%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog0%48%
Tiebreak sets won40%42%
Wins after taking set 195%83%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 191%78%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 3, Cilic 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Alcaraz

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Cilic

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

5 career meetings, newest first

Feb 17, 2025

Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha

H Hard · 1st Round

64
64
Alcaraz

Sep 5, 2022

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 4th Round

64
36
64
46
63
Alcaraz

Aug 18, 2022

Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · 3rd Round

764
61
Alcaraz

Mar 28, 2022

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 3rd Round

64
64
Alcaraz

Apr 27, 2021

Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril

C Clay · 1st Round

36
61
46
Cilic

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricAlcarazCilic
W-L-3–5
Avg odds-2.30
ROI %--34.5%
Units P/L--2.76u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricAlcarazCilic
Countries—2
Events—2
Matches—3
Distance—712 mi · 1,146 km
Route—CAN → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Cilic's 20%).

OpponentAlcarazCilic
Daniil Medvedev
L
36
67
L
16
26
46
Zizou Bergs
W
64
63
W
46
63
64
Otto Virtanen
W
64
62
L
57
46
Jannik Sinner
L
67
36
L
26
26
Felix Auger-Aliassime
W
62
64
L
67
36
Alexander Zverev
W
64
76
67
67
75
L
26
75
46
Brandon Nakashima
W
62
64
W
26
64
76
Casper Ruud
W
61
76
L
46
46
63
57
Arthur Rinderknech
W
67
63
62
L
26
46
Taylor Fritz
W
67
75
63
L
67
67

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Alcaraz
WLWWWWLW
W

Otto Virtanen

Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round

64
62

Apr 14

L

Jannik Sinner

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final

657
36

Apr 12

W

Valentin Vacherot

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals

64
64

Apr 11

W

Alexander Bublik

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals

63
60

Apr 10

W

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round

61
46
63

Apr 9

W

Sebastian Baez

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round

61
63

Apr 7

L

Sebastian Korda

Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round

36
75
46

Mar 22

W

Joao Fonseca

Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round

64
64

Mar 20

Cilic
LLWLLLWW
L

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

63
16
16

Aug 15

L

Frances Tiafoe

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

75
26
26

Aug 5

W

Sho Shimabukuro

National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round

762
61

Aug 4

L

Daniil Medvedev

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

16
26
46

Jun 29

L

Ugo Humbert

HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round

57
36

Jun 16

L

Daniil Medvedev

Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals

26
63
16

Jun 13

W

Nuno Borges

Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round

36
765
63

Jun 12

W

Denis Shapovalov

Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round

657
64
75

Jun 8

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ AlcarazAlcaraz ahead↓ Cilic

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–44 matches

MetricAlcarazCilic
Matches won86%48%
Sets won80%48%
Games won59%50%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageAlcarazCilic
Grand Slam10
ATP 50010
ATP World Tour Masters 100020
ATP World Tour 25001

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceAlcarazCilic
Hard40
Clay01

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Marin Cilic FAQ

Carlos Alcaraz leads the head-to-head 4–1 over 5 meetings.