Dominic Thiem vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dominic Thiem and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 11 times since 2018; Dominic Thiem leads 6–5. Their first meeting came at Doha in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Thiem leads 5–2. On clay courts Tsitsipas leads 2–1. Tsitsipas has won the last 3 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, split 1–1. Across all meetings Thiem has taken 17 sets to Tsitsipas's 16. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Thiem | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dominic Thiem | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 75% | 24/32 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 29% | 5/17 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 27% | 13/49 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 50% | 17/34 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 54% | 7/13 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 43% | 12/28 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 90% | 28/31 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 77% | 24/31 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Thiem 1, Tsitsipas 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Thiem
💥 Big Hitter
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
11 career meetings, newest first
Oct 24, 2023
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 5, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Apr 29, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 15, 2020
Nitto ATP Finals - London
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 7, 2020
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 17, 2019
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Final
Oct 6, 2019
Beijing
H Hard · Final
May 30, 2018
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Apr 20, 2018
Barcelona
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 10, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Jan 4, 2018
Doha
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Thiem | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 17–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.76 |
| ROI % | - | +19.9% |
| Units P/L | - | +4.58u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Thiem | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | — | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luciano Darderi
Erste Bank Open - Vienna · 1st Round
Oct 22
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 26
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 23
Juan Pablo Varillas
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 15
Gael Monfils
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 22
Franco Agamenone
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 20
Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 23
Luciano Darderi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yoshihito Nishioka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alex Molcan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–58 matches
| Metric | Thiem | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 62% |
| Sets won | - | 60% |
| Games won | - | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Thiem | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Thiem | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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