Daniil Medvedev vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Denis Shapovalov have met 6 times since 2017; Daniil Medvedev leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 4–2. Medvedev has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Medvedev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 9 sets to Shapovalov's 6. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 44% | 8/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 3, Shapovalov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Oct 30, 2022
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Final
Aug 18, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 25, 2021
Laver Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 6, 2018
Tokyo
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 1, 2018
Washington
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 29, 2017
US Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | -0.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Shapovalov's 40%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 67 | L 57 36 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 61 61 | W 64 62 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 64 | W 63 57 64 |
| Marin Cilic | W 61 62 64 | L 76 46 57 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 76 46 | L 57 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 64 64 | L 46 16 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 63 26 76 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 75 46 | L 36 26 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 63 62 | L 26 16 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 67 64 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 47% |
| Sets won | 65% | 44% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 2 |
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