Daniil Medvedev vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Denis Shapovalov have met 6 times since 2017; Daniil Medvedev leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 4–2. Medvedev has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Medvedev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 9 sets to Shapovalov's 6. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 46% | 18/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 45% | 10/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 3, Shapovalov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Denis Shapovalov.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Oct 30, 2022
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Final
Aug 18, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 25, 2021
Laver Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 6, 2018
Tokyo
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 1, 2018
Washington
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 29, 2017
US Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 12–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | +12.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | +2.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Shapovalov's 40%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 63 76 | L |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 62 | W 75 36 64 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 64 62 | L 36 67 |
| Valentin Royer | W 76 63 | W 76 62 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 67 | L 57 36 |
| Marin Cilic | W 61 62 64 | L 76 46 57 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 63 26 76 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 75 46 | L 36 26 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 63 62 | L 26 16 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 67 64 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 56% |
| Sets won | 66% | 52% |
| Games won | 56% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.