Carlos Alcaraz and Matteo Arnaldi have met 1 time since 2023; Carlos Alcaraz leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at US Open (2023).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
💥 Big Hitter
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Carlos Alcaraz.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
1 career meeting, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 53% | 10/19 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/19 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–1 | 13–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.20 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -13.0% | +49.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.78u | +9.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Arnaldi's 33%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 62 61 | W 46 76 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 76 64 | L 46 26 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 64 76 67 67 75 | L 46 46 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 63 62 | L 76 46 46 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 67 75 63 | L 36 46 |
| Luca Nardi | W 61 64 | W 60 67 63 |
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Sebastian Baez
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 7
Daniil Medvedev
BNP Paribas Open · Semifinals
Mar 14
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 12
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open · Round of 32
Jun 23
Toby Samuel
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Alastair Gray
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Raphael Collignon
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Tallon Griekspoor
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–55 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 89% | 52% |
| Sets won | 81% | 50% |
| Games won | 60% | 49% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
