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Head-to-Head

Carlos Alcaraz vs Francisco CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Carlos Alcaraz

🇪🇸Carlos Alcaraz

#3 · 23 yrs · R

20w
4–0

4 meetings · sets 8–1

Francisco Cerundolo

🇦🇷Francisco Cerundolo

#25 · 28 yrs · R

4

Carlos Alcaraz and Francisco Cerundolo have met 4 times since 2024; Carlos Alcaraz leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at cinch Championships - London in 2024 on grass. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 2–0. Alcaraz has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 8 sets to Cerundolo's 1. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Laver Cup - San Francisco (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorAlcarazCerundolo
Wins in straight sets80%75%
Wins a set when losing33%28%
Goes to a deciding set23%26%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite69%61%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog0%50%
Tiebreak sets won40%53%
Wins after taking set 195%84%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 191%68%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 3, Cerundolo 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Alcaraz

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Cerundolo

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Matchup analysis

The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 458 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Carlos Alcaraz.

The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.

Previous meetings

4 career meetings, newest first

Sep 21, 2025

Laver Cup - San Francisco

H Hard · Round Robin

62
61
Alcaraz

Apr 9, 2025

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo

C Clay · 2nd Round

36
60
61
Alcaraz

Mar 13, 2025

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · Quarterfinals

63
764
Alcaraz

Jun 18, 2024

cinch Championships - London

G Grass · 1st Round

61
75
Alcaraz

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricAlcarazCerundolo
W-L-5–4
Avg odds-1.89
ROI %-+9.4%
Units P/L-+0.85u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricAlcarazCerundolo
Countries—3
Events—3
Matches—3
Distance—3,258 mi · 5,243 km
Route—MEX → CAN → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Cerundolo's 50%).

OpponentAlcarazCerundolo
Tommy Paul
W
76
64
75
W
67
64
63
Brandon Nakashima
W
62
64
W
67
63
64
Alex de Minaur
W
75
62
61
L
63
46
36
Lorenzo Musetti
W
64
61
L
67
46
Yannick Hanfmann
W
76
63
62
W
61
75
Alexander Zverev
W
64
76
67
67
75
L
75
06
26
Jannik Sinner
L
67
36
L
57
16
Alexander Bublik
W
63
60
L
46
26
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
W
61
46
63
W
63
75
Daniil Medvedev
L
36
67
W
60
46
75

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Alcaraz
WLWWWWLW
W

Otto Virtanen

Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round

64
62

Apr 14

L

Jannik Sinner

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final

657
36

Apr 12

W

Valentin Vacherot

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals

64
64

Apr 11

W

Alexander Bublik

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals

63
60

Apr 10

W

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round

61
46
63

Apr 9

W

Sebastian Baez

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round

61
63

Apr 7

L

Sebastian Korda

Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round

36
75
46

Mar 22

W

Joao Fonseca

Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round

64
64

Mar 20

Cerundolo
LLLLWWWW
L

Nuno Borges

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
46

Aug 16

L

Alex Michelsen

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

36
46

Aug 6

L

Arthur Gea

Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals

7611
46
06

Jul 31

L

Jaume Munar

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

16
46
36

Jun 30

W

Tommy Paul

HSBC Championships - London · Final

647
64
63

Jun 21

W

Brandon Nakashima

HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals

657
63
64

Jun 20

W

Arthur Fery

HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals

761
36
64

Jun 19

W

Jenson Brooksby

HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round

60
64

Jun 17

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ AlcarazAlcaraz ahead↓ Cerundolo

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–54 matches

MetricAlcarazCerundolo
Matches won86%61%
Sets won80%59%
Games won59%53%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageAlcarazCerundolo
Other10
ATP Masters 100020
ATP World Tour 50010

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceAlcarazCerundolo
Hard20
Clay10
Grass10

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Francisco Cerundolo FAQ

Carlos Alcaraz leads the head-to-head 4–0 over 4 meetings.