Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Frances Tiafoe have met 3 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona in 2021 on clay. Alcaraz has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 6 sets to Tiafoe's 6. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Wimbledon - London (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/31 | 41% | 19/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 20/29 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 63% | 17/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 0, Tiafoe 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 5, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Sep 9, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Semifinals
Apr 20, 2021
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 15–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.92 |
| ROI % | - | +31.0% |
| Units P/L | - | +6.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Tiafoe's 40%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | W 62 61 | L 36 61 06 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 64 | W 75 63 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 64 61 | W 76 75 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 63 60 | L 64 67 67 64 36 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 67 75 63 | W 64 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 62 64 | W 36 63 76 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 62 64 | L 46 67 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 36 | L 26 26 |
| Tommy Paul | W 76 64 75 | L 57 64 67 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 36 75 46 | L 57 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–56 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 66% |
| Sets won | 80% | 59% |
| Games won | 59% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.