Carlos Alcaraz and Denis Shapovalov have met 2 times since 2023; Carlos Alcaraz leads 2–0. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,200 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
2 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–1 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.20 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -13.0% | -38.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.78u | -3.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (89% vs Shapovalov's 33%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 62 61 | L 46 16 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 36 | L 36 26 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 61 46 63 | W 63 26 76 |
| Casper Ruud | W 61 76 | L 36 46 |
| Joao Fonseca | W 64 64 | L 75 46 36 |
| Valentin Royer | W 62 75 | W 76 62 |
| Adam Walton | W 63 76 62 | W 62 62 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 62 64 | L 46 46 |
| Luca Nardi | W 61 64 | L 76 36 46 |
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Sebastian Baez
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 7
Daniil Medvedev
BNP Paribas Open · Semifinals
Mar 14
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 12
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marin Cilic
Libema Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Jack Pinnington Jones
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jaime Faria
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Mariano Navone
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 25
Alex Molcan
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Tallon Griekspoor
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 32
Apr 14
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–56 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 89% | 49% |
| Sets won | 80% | 48% |
| Games won | 60% | 50% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |