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Head-to-Head

Cameron Norrie vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Cameron Norrie

🇬🇧Cameron Norrie

#40 · 31 yrs · L

4
3–3

6 meetings · sets 9–7

Tommy Paul

🇺🇸Tommy Paul

#18 · 29 yrs · R

Cameron Norrie and Tommy Paul have met 6 times since 2016; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Fairfield in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Paul leads 3–2. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 9 sets to Paul's 7. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorNorriePaul
Wins in straight sets50%57%
Wins a set when losing43%57%
Goes to a deciding set47%48%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite46%38%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog60%100%
Tiebreak sets won41%62%
Wins after taking set 190%79%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 162%61%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 1, Paul 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Norrie

🎯 Baseliner

Precise groundstrokesCourt controlPatient constructionConsistent depth
vs

Paul

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

6 career meetings, newest first

Mar 9, 2025

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · 3rd Round

36
57
Paul

Jul 3, 2022

Wimbledon - London

G Grass · 4th Round

64
75
64
Norrie

Feb 19, 2022

Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach

H Hard · Semifinals

63
63
Norrie

Oct 13, 2021

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · 4th Round

64
46
62
Norrie

Feb 1, 2021

Murray River Open - Melbourne

H Hard · 1st Round

64
627
36
Paul

Oct 9, 2016

Fairfield

H Hard · Round of 16

61
36
46
Paul

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeNorriePaul
1 or more100%100%
3 or more69%92%
5 or more23%75%
10 or more0%17%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricNorriePaul
W-L7–68–5
Avg odds2.251.81
ROI %-15.3%+1.3%
Units P/L-1.99u+0.17u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricNorriePaul
Countries12
Events22
Matches22
Distance663 mi · 1,067 km1,092 mi · 1,758 km
RouteCHNJPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Norrie's 50%).

OpponentNorriePaul
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
L
67
02
W
62
62
Alexander Zverev
L
67
46
W
46
76
64
Carlos Alcaraz
L
36
46
L
46
36
46
Dino Prizmic
W
36
61
64
W
62
63
57
64
Arthur Fils
L
26
67
L
76
67
67
Learner Tien
L
36
63
67
L
36
26
Alex de Minaur
W
57
76
61
W
26
63
63
Valentin Royer
W
63
67
63
W
64
76
Ignacio Buse
W
63
63
L
67
64
36
Aleksandar Kovacevic
W
64
61
W
64
63
63

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Norrie
LLLLWLWW
L

Dalibor Svrcina

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

36
63
46

Oct 8

L

Alexander Zverev

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round

617
46

Oct 1

L

Luca Van Assche

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

766
26
26
36

Aug 30

L

Alexander Zverev

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
36
36

Aug 16

W

Dino Prizmic

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

36
61
64

Aug 13

L

Arthur Fils

National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round

26
687

Aug 9

W

Alex de Minaur

National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round

57
765
61

Aug 6

W

Ignacio Buse

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

63
63

Aug 5

Paul
WLLWWWLW
W

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

62
62

Oct 10

L

Alejandro Tabilo

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

16
26

Sep 30

L

Carlos Alcaraz

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

46
36
46

Sep 6

W

Alexander Bublik

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

64
36
647
61
63

Sep 4

W

Dino Prizmic

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

62
63
57
64

Sep 3

W

Chak Pong Marco Lam

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

637
61
63
63

Aug 30

L

Flavio Cobolli

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

62
36
46

Aug 20

W

Alexander Zverev

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

46
766
64

Aug 19

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ Norrielevel↓ Paul

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–58 matches

MetricNorriePaul
Matches won54%69%
Sets won51%64%
Games won51%54%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageNorriePaul
Grand Slam10
ATP 25011
ATP Masters 100011
ATP Challenger Tour01

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceNorriePaul
Hard23
Grass10

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Cameron Norrie vs Tommy Paul FAQ

The head-to-head is level at 3–3 over 6 meetings.