Cameron Norrie vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Tommy Paul have met 6 times since 2016; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Fairfield in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Paul leads 3–2. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 9 sets to Paul's 7. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 23/51 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 14/28 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 14/31 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 1, Paul 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Mar 9, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 3, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Feb 19, 2022
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 13, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Feb 1, 2021
Murray River Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 9, 2016
Fairfield
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -8.3% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.99u | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 5 |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Norrie's 50%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 63 36 36 | W 46 76 64 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 67 02 | W 36 63 64 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 67 | L 76 67 67 |
| Learner Tien | L 36 63 67 | L 36 26 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 57 76 61 | W 26 63 63 |
| Valentin Royer | W 63 67 63 | W 64 76 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 63 | L 67 64 36 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 61 | W 64 63 63 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 16 76 75 | W 63 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 26 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–55 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 69% |
| Sets won | 53% | 64% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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