Cameron Norrie vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Sebastian Baez have met 3 times since 2022; Cameron Norrie leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Open Parc - Lyon in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Norrie leads 2–0. Norrie has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 6 sets to Baez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Cameron Norrie won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 23/51 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 14/28 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 14/31 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 1, Baez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🎾 All-Court across 222 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Cameron Norrie.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 27, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
May 25, 2023
Open Parc - Lyon
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 19, 2022
Open Parc - Lyon
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -8.3% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.99u | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 8 | 9 |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Norrie has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Baez's 40%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Learner Tien | L 36 63 67 | L 36 67 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 63 | W 64 63 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 76 64 | W 76 62 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 62 46 76 | W 63 36 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 62 67 62 | L 16 26 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 57 76 46 | L 57 36 |
| Tomas Machac | W 62 67 76 | L 62 46 16 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 64 67 64 | W 75 75 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 36 46 | L 16 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 46 | L 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–64 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 55% |
| Sets won | 53% | 53% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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