Cameron Norrie vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Sebastian Baez have met 3 times since 2022; Cameron Norrie leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Open Parc - Lyon in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Norrie leads 2–0. Norrie has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 6 sets to Baez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Cameron Norrie won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 13/26 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 9/21 | 22% | 6/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 22/47 | 23% | 14/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 12/26 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 11/27 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 13/21 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 1, Baez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 218 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 27, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
May 25, 2023
Open Parc - Lyon
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 19, 2022
Open Parc - Lyon
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 65% | 13/20 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 30% | 6/20 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 15% | 3/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 9–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | 2.40 |
| ROI % | -15.3% | -11.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.99u | -2.05u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Norrie has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Baez's 40%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 46 | L 46 67 |
| Learner Tien | L 36 63 67 | L 36 67 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 63 | W 64 63 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 76 64 | W 76 62 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 62 46 76 | W 63 36 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 62 67 62 | L 16 26 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 57 76 46 | L 57 36 |
| Tomas Machac | W 62 67 76 | L 62 46 16 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 64 67 64 | W 75 75 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 36 46 | L 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Luca Van Assche
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–66 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 53% |
| Sets won | 51% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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