Cameron Norrie vs Carlos AlcarazPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Carlos Alcaraz have met 9 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 6–3. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 3–2. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 2–1. 2 of their meetings have been finals, split 1–1. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 7 sets to Alcaraz's 17. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 23/51 | 23% | 7/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 14/28 | 69% | 20/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 14/31 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 95% | 21/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 91% | 20/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 0, Alcaraz 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 179 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Cameron Norrie.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Mar 12, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 28, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 8, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Feb 26, 2023
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Final
Feb 19, 2023
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · Final
Aug 19, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 5, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 17, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 30, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | - |
| ROI % | -8.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.99u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | — |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Norrie's 44%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 63 36 36 | W 64 76 67 67 75 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 67 | W 62 61 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 57 76 61 | W 75 62 61 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 57 | L 67 36 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 46 | W 64 64 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 63 64 | W 61 63 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 46 | L 36 67 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 62 67 62 | W 76 64 |
| Valentin Royer | W 63 67 63 | W 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–55 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 86% |
| Sets won | 53% | 80% |
| Games won | 51% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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