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Head-to-Head

Cameron Norrie vs Carlos AlcarazPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Cameron Norrie

🇬🇧Cameron Norrie

#40 · 31 yrs · L

4
3–6

9 meetings · sets 7–17

Carlos Alcaraz

🇪🇸Carlos Alcaraz

#3 · 23 yrs · R

7Title

Cameron Norrie and Carlos Alcaraz have met 9 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 6–3. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 3–2. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 2–1. 2 of their meetings have been finals, split 1–1. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 7 sets to Alcaraz's 17. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorNorrieAlcaraz
Wins in straight sets50%72%
Wins a set when losing43%40%
Goes to a deciding set47%30%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite46%64%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog60%0%
Tiebreak sets won41%54%
Wins after taking set 190%95%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 162%82%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 0, Alcaraz 3).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Norrie

🎯 Baseliner

Precise groundstrokesCourt controlPatient constructionConsistent depth
vs

Alcaraz

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Cameron Norrie.

Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.

Previous meetings

9 career meetings, newest first

Mar 12, 2026

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · Quarterfinals

36
46
Alcaraz

Oct 28, 2025

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

H Hard · 2nd Round

46
63
64
Norrie

Jul 8, 2025

Wimbledon - London

G Grass · Quarterfinals

26
36
36
Alcaraz

Feb 26, 2023

Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro

C Clay · Final

57
64
75
Norrie

Feb 19, 2023

Argentina Open - Buenos Aires

C Clay · Final

36
57
Alcaraz

Aug 19, 2022

Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · Quarterfinals

764
647
64
Norrie

May 5, 2022

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

C Clay · 3rd Round

46
764
36
Alcaraz

Mar 17, 2022

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · Quarterfinals

46
36
Alcaraz

Aug 30, 2021

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 1st Round

46
46
36
Alcaraz

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeNorrieAlcaraz
1 or more100%92%
3 or more69%75%
5 or more23%25%
10 or more0%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricNorrieAlcaraz
W-L7–611–1
Avg odds2.251.15
ROI %-15.3%+4.3%
Units P/L-1.99u+0.51u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricNorrieAlcaraz
Countries13
Events23
Matches27
Distance663 mi · 1,067 km7,032 mi · 11,317 km
RouteCHNGBR → JPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Norrie's 40%).

OpponentNorrieAlcaraz
Denis Shapovalov
L
36
75
46
W
Alexander Zverev
L
67
46
W
64
76
67
67
75
Alex Michelsen
L
57
76
46
W
76
46
61
Arthur Fils
L
26
67
W
62
61
Alex de Minaur
W
57
76
61
W
75
62
61
Jannik Sinner
L
26
57
L
67
36
Valentin Vacherot
L
67
46
W
64
64
Sebastian Baez
W
63
64
W
61
63
Andrey Rublev
W
62
67
62
W
76
64
Valentin Royer
W
63
67
63
W
62
75

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Norrie
LLLLWLWW
L

Dalibor Svrcina

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

36
63
46

Oct 8

L

Alexander Zverev

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round

617
46

Oct 1

L

Luca Van Assche

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

766
26
26
36

Aug 30

L

Alexander Zverev

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
36
36

Aug 16

W

Dino Prizmic

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

36
61
64

Aug 13

L

Arthur Fils

National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round

26
687

Aug 9

W

Alex de Minaur

National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round

57
765
61

Aug 6

W

Ignacio Buse

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

63
63

Aug 5

Alcaraz
WWWWWWWL
W

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

63
63

Oct 10

W

Jiri Lehecka

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final

764
64

Oct 6

W

Jaume Munar

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals

57
63
61

Oct 5

W

Denis Shapovalov

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals

Oct 4

W

Matteo Arnaldi

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

766
61

Oct 3

W

Alex Michelsen

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

761
46
61

Oct 1

W

Taylor Fritz

Laver Cup - London · Round Robin

63
46
1311

Sep 26

L

Ben Shelton

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

765
16
36
61
67

Sep 9

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ NorrieAlcaraz ahead↓ Alcaraz

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–52 matches

MetricNorrieAlcaraz
Matches won54%86%
Sets won51%78%
Games won51%59%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageNorrieAlcaraz
Finals11
Grand Slam02
ATP 50010
ATP 25001
ATP Masters 100023

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceNorrieAlcaraz
Hard23
Clay12
Grass01

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Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz FAQ

Carlos Alcaraz leads the head-to-head 6–3 over 9 meetings.