Brandon Nakashima vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Denis Shapovalov have met 3 times since 2022; Brandon Nakashima leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2022 on grass. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 7 sets to Shapovalov's 4. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 15/30 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 44% | 8/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 1, Shapovalov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 7, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
May 29, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 30, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 9/21 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +38.6% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | +8.10u | -0.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 13 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Shapovalov's 40%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 62 75 | W 64 64 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 76 64 | L 57 64 57 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 67 | L 64 46 67 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 62 61 | L 57 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 76 64 | L 46 16 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 63 26 76 |
| Jack Pinnington Jones | W 63 76 75 | W 64 46 76 |
| Marin Cilic | L 62 46 67 | L 76 46 57 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 63 36 46 | L 46 64 36 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 67 16 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–61 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 46% |
| Sets won | 59% | 43% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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