Brandon Nakashima vs Cameron NorriePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Cameron Norrie have met 5 times since 2020; Cameron Norrie leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Norrie leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 4 sets to Norrie's 6. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Citi Open - Washington (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Norrie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Cameron Norrie | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 45% | 23/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 15/30 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 88% | 22/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 60% | 15/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 2, Norrie 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 24, 2025
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 9, 2022
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 22, 2022
Viking International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jul 24, 2021
Abierto Mexicano de Tenis Mifel - Los Cabos
H Hard · Final
Feb 19, 2020
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Norrie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Cameron Norrie | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 9/21 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +38.6% | -8.3% |
| Units P/L | +8.10u | -0.99u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 13 | 8 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | MEX → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Norrie's 50%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | W 67 76 61 | L 36 46 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 62 75 | W 64 61 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 75 46 | L 63 36 36 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 76 64 | L 36 26 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 36 | L 26 67 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 76 64 | W 57 76 61 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 62 62 | W 63 63 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 63 64 | W 76 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 76 64 | L 67 26 |
| Roberto Bautista Agut | W 62 75 62 | W 76 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–61 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 56% |
| Sets won | 59% | 53% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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