Brandon Nakashima vs Cameron NorriePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Cameron Norrie have met 5 times since 2020; Cameron Norrie leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Norrie leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 4 sets to Norrie's 6. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Citi Open - Washington (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Norrie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Cameron Norrie | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/52 | 47% | 22/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 19/34 | 46% | 12/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 15/29 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 90% | 19/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 24/34 | 62% | 13/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 2, Norrie 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 1,590 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Brandon Nakashima.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 24, 2025
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 9, 2022
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 22, 2022
Viking International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jul 24, 2021
Abierto Mexicano de Tenis Mifel - Los Cabos
H Hard · Final
Feb 19, 2020
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Norrie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Cameron Norrie | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 52% | 11/21 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.25 |
| ROI % | +27.8% | -15.3% |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | -1.99u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Norrie's 40%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Berrettini | W 76 75 | L 67 76 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 26 | W 16 76 75 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 75 46 | L 67 46 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 36 46 46 | L 57 76 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 62 61 60 | W 63 64 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 67 64 57 61 63 | L 76 26 26 36 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 62 75 | W 64 61 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 76 64 | L 36 26 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 36 | L 26 67 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 76 64 | W 57 76 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Luca Van Assche
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–60 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 54% |
| Sets won | 59% | 51% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Norrie |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.