Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π·πΊAndrey Rublev
#24 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
3 meetings Β· sets 7β0

πΊπΈSebastian Korda
#68 Β· 26 yrs Β· R
23wAndrey Rublev and Sebastian Korda have met 3 times since 2021; Andrey Rublev leads 3β0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Rublev leads 3β0. Rublev has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rublev leading those 1β0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 7 sets to Korda's 0. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 100% | 7/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 77% | 20/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 2, Korda 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
π€ Servebot
Korda
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π€ Servebot vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 19, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Oct 16, 2022
Gijon Open - Gijon
H Hard Β· Final
Apr 1, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6β5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | - |
| ROI % | -22.6% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 3 | β |
| Distance | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km | β |
| Route | CAN β USA | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Korda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Rublev's 50%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 16 63 76 | W 60 63 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 64 | W 63 62 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 46 | W 62 75 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 62 63 | L 26 36 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 16 | L 46 57 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 67 46 | W 63 57 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 67 63 | L 36 46 |
| Valentin Royer | W 63 64 | W 62 57 64 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 67 36 | W 76 61 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 76 57 46 | L 06 75 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril Β· 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad Β· Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad Β· Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami Β· 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 39β52 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 64% |
| Sets won | 56% | 61% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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