Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π·πΊAndrey Rublev
#23 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
3 meetings Β· sets 7β0

πΊπΈSebastian Korda
#74 Β· 26 yrs Β· R
29wAndrey Rublev and Sebastian Korda have met 3 times since 2021; Andrey Rublev leads 3β0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Rublev leads 3β0. Rublev has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rublev leading those 1β0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 7 sets to Korda's 0. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 42% | 13/31 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 61% | 14/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 2, Korda 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
π₯ Big Hitter
Korda
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Andrey Rublev and Sebastian Korda are π₯ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 19, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Oct 16, 2022
Gijon Open - Gijon
H Hard Β· Final
Apr 1, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11β7 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | - |
| ROI % | -14.8% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.67u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 3 | β |
| Matches | 8 | β |
| Distance | 1,361 mi Β· 2,191 km | β |
| Route | CHN | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Rublev and Korda posted a 56% win rate.
| Opponent | Rublev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 61 26 36 | L 64 46 46 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 16 63 76 | W 60 63 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 64 | W 63 62 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 46 | W 62 75 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 62 63 | L 26 36 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 67 46 | W 63 57 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 67 63 | L 36 46 |
| Valentin Royer | W 63 64 | W 62 57 64 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 76 57 46 | L 06 75 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou Β· Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou Β· Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou Β· 2nd Round
Sep 25
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami Β· 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 32β57 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 66% |
| Sets won | 58% | 63% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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