Andrey Rublev vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Matteo Berrettini have met 5 times since 2018; Matteo Berrettini leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Gstaad in 2018 on clay. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 5 sets to Berrettini's 8. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at U.S. Open - New York (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 36% | 10/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 88% | 15/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 1, Berrettini 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Sep 7, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Oct 19, 2019
Vienna
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 2, 2019
US Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Feb 13, 2019
Marseille
H Hard · Round of 16
Jul 16, 2018
Gstaad
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 15 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 11% | 1/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | -25.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.67u | -2.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Berrettini's 50%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 61 26 36 | L 16 67 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 64 64 | W 16 76 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 57 46 | W 60 60 |
| Mariano Navone | W 64 75 | L 63 36 46 67 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 76 61 | W 63 64 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 67 | W 64 75 36 63 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 36 26 | L 64 36 46 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 64 62 63 | L |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 62 64 | W 64 64 64 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 16 63 76 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Stan Wawrinka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–57 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 57% |
| Sets won | 58% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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