Andrey Rublev vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Lorenzo Musetti have met 2 times since 2020; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 3 sets to Musetti's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 26% | 10/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 73% | 16/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 1, Musetti 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Andrey Rublev and Lorenzo Musetti are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 10, 2026
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 24, 2020
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 10 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | -19.1% | -28.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.24u | -3.16u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 8 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Rublev's 60%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 61 26 36 | W 75 36 75 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 57 76 | W 64 75 |
| Jaime Faria | W 64 63 46 75 | W 75 62 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 64 62 63 | W |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 36 26 | W 64 76 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 36 67 36 | W 76 64 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 67 | L 36 46 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 36 62 62 | W 64 63 |
| Tomas Machac | W 64 63 | W 57 64 62 57 62 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 62 63 | W 63 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–57 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 60% |
| Sets won | 58% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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