Alex de Minaur and Francisco Cerundolo have met 3 times since 2025; Alex de Minaur leads 2–1. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Bitpanda Hamburg Open (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Cerundolo
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 59% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 974 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Alex de Minaur.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
3 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 3 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 67% | 10/15 |
| 5 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/15 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | -15.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -2.31u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Minaur's 50%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | L 57 36 | W 67 63 64 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 64 60 | W 76 76 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 62 64 | W 64 57 76 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 36 76 75 | W 63 64 67 64 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 60 63 | W 62 63 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 57 63 57 | L 67 46 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 64 67 46 | W 36 26 75 64 63 |
| Alexander Blockx | W 75 76 | L 67 26 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 36 67 | W 75 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 46 | W 60 46 75 |
Last five matches per player
Denis Shapovalov
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Kamil Majchrzak
Libema Open · Final
Jun 13
Adrian Mannarino
Libema Open · Semifinals
Jun 13
Benjamin Bonzi
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Martin Damm
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Gabriel Diallo
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Aleksandar Kovacevic
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Zachary Svajda
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 30
Hugo Gaston
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 28
Botic van de Zandschulp
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Alex de Minaur
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 18
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 63% |
| Sets won | 65% | 61% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
