Smashrssmashrs.

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Head-to-Head

Alex de Minaur vs Francisco CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Alex de Minaur

🇦🇺Alex de Minaur

#7 · 27 yrs · R

2–1

3 meetings · sets 5–4

Francisco Cerundolo

🇦🇷Francisco Cerundolo

#25 · 28 yrs · R

4

Alex de Minaur and Francisco Cerundolo have met 3 times since 2025; Alex de Minaur leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 5 sets to Cerundolo's 4. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Hamburg Open - Hamburg (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicatorde MinaurCerundolo
Wins in straight sets74%75%
Wins a set when losing43%28%
Goes to a deciding set33%26%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite47%61%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog56%50%
Tiebreak sets won70%53%
Wins after taking set 189%84%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 174%68%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 0, Cerundolo 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Minaur

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance
vs

Cerundolo

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Matchup analysis

Both Alex de Minaur and Francisco Cerundolo are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

May 18, 2026

Hamburg Open - Hamburg

C Clay · 1st Round

36
64
63
Minaur

Mar 12, 2025

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · 4th Round

57
36
Cerundolo

Jan 18, 2025

Australian Open - Melbourne

H Hard · 3rd Round

57
763
63
63
Minaur

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeMinaurCerundolo
1 or more94%100%
3 or more78%56%
5 or more50%33%
10 or more0%11%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricMinaurCerundolo
W-L13–65–4
Avg odds1.331.89
ROI %-16.4%+9.4%
Units P/L-3.11u+0.85u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricMinaurCerundolo
Countries22
Events22
Matches52
Distance712 mi · 1,146 km712 mi · 1,146 km
RouteCAN → USACAN → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 10 shared opponents, both Minaur and Cerundolo posted a 80% win rate.

OpponentMinaurCerundolo
Arthur Fery
W
75
76
W
76
36
64
Nuno Borges
W
75
62
L
46
46
Brandon Nakashima
L
67
46
W
67
63
64
Stefanos Tsitsipas
W
64
36
63
W
75
64
Zachary Svajda
W
62
57
62
64
L
36
46
63
64
36
Adrian Mannarino
W
63
62
62
W
76
76
Tommy Paul
L
62
36
36
W
67
64
63
Benjamin Bonzi
W
62
64
W
64
57
76
Botic van de Zandschulp
W
36
76
75
W
63
64
67
64
Luciano Darderi
W
60
63
W
62
63

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Minaur
LWWLWLWW
L

Arthur Fils

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

36
46

Aug 19

W

Arthur Fery

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

75
763

Aug 17

W

Quentin Halys

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

16
63
764

Aug 15

L

Cameron Norrie

National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round

75
657
16

Aug 6

W

James Duckworth

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

62
766

Aug 5

L

Brandon Nakashima

Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals

657
46

Jul 31

W

Cruz Hewitt

Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round

62
63

Jul 30

W

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round

64
36
63

Jul 29

Cerundolo
LLLLWWWW
L

Nuno Borges

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
46

Aug 16

L

Alex Michelsen

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

36
46

Aug 6

L

Arthur Gea

Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals

7611
46
06

Jul 31

L

Jaume Munar

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

16
46
36

Jun 30

W

Tommy Paul

HSBC Championships - London · Final

647
64
63

Jun 21

W

Brandon Nakashima

HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals

657
63
64

Jun 20

W

Arthur Fery

HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals

761
36
64

Jun 19

W

Jenson Brooksby

HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round

60
64

Jun 17

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ MinaurMinaur ahead↓ Cerundolo

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–74 matches

MetricMinaurCerundolo
Matches won64%61%
Sets won62%59%
Games won54%53%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageMinaurCerundolo
Grand Slam10
ATP 50010
ATP Masters 100001

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceMinaurCerundolo
Hard11
Clay10

Share this matchup

Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.

Alex de Minaur vs Francisco Cerundolo FAQ

Alex de Minaur leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.