Alex de Minaur and Frances Tiafoe have met 6 times since 2017; Alex de Minaur leads 5–1. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Australian Open (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Tiafoe
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,955 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
6 career meetings, newest first
Jan 23, 2026
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 3, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 16
Nov 3, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 16
Nov 8, 2019
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 30, 2018
US Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Jan 1, 2017
Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 5 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/16 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | +38.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | +6.17u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Tiafoe's 50%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | L 57 36 | W 36 76 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 63 62 | W 36 63 76 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 76 67 64 | L 46 67 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 75 | W 64 75 67 75 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 67 63 64 20 | W 76 46 64 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 64 67 46 | L 67 76 63 67 46 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 60 26 26 36 | W 76 46 76 |
| Tommy Paul | L 62 36 36 | L 57 64 67 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 64 62 | L 67 67 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 26 62 | L 64 46 36 57 |
Last five matches per player
Denis Shapovalov
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Kamil Majchrzak
Libema Open · Final
Jun 13
Adrian Mannarino
Libema Open · Semifinals
Jun 13
Benjamin Bonzi
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Martin Damm
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Gabriel Diallo
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Sho Shimabukuro
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 16
Jun 17
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Terra Wortmann Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Jiri Lehecka
BOSS OPEN · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Rinky Hijikata
BOSS OPEN · Round of 16
Jun 11
Daniel Altmaier
BOSS OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 10
Flavio Cobolli
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 32
Jun 9
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Jaime Faria
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 67% |
| Sets won | 65% | 59% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 1 |
