Alex de Minaur and Denis Shapovalov have met 6 times since 2017; Alex de Minaur leads 5–1. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at HSBC Championships (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 2,683 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
6 career meetings, newest first
Jun 17, 2026
HSBC Championships
G Grass · Round of 16
Apr 29, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 21, 2022
Stockholm
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 8, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 64
Jan 7, 2020
ATP Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Jun 6, 2017
Surbiton
G Grass · 3rd Round Qualifying
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 5 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/10 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | -38.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -3.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Shapovalov's 50%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 62 46 64 | W 57 64 63 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 16 | W 61 62 |
| Alexander Blockx | W 75 76 | L 46 64 36 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 36 67 | W 62 36 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 26 | L 36 26 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 36 76 75 | L 57 36 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 46 | L 64 46 67 |
| Yunchaokete Bu | W 64 60 | W 63 76 61 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 76 67 64 | L 46 46 |
| Christopher O'Connell | W 63 64 64 | W 63 62 |
Last five matches per player
Denis Shapovalov
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Kamil Majchrzak
Libema Open · Final
Jun 13
Adrian Mannarino
Libema Open · Semifinals
Jun 13
Benjamin Bonzi
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Martin Damm
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Gabriel Diallo
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marin Cilic
Libema Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Jack Pinnington Jones
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jaime Faria
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Mariano Navone
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 25
Alex Molcan
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Tallon Griekspoor
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 32
Apr 14
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 49% |
| Sets won | 65% | 48% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
