Sebastian Baez vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Sebastian Baez and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 3 times since 2022; Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On clay courts Tsitsipas leads 2–0. Tsitsipas has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Baez has taken 2 sets to Tsitsipas's 7. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at Olympics - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Baez | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sebastian Baez | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 26/34 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 5/26 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 13/60 | 27% | 11/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 17/27 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 7/11 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 92% | 23/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 26/34 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Baez 0, Tsitsipas 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 752 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Stefanos Tsitsipas.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 31, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
May 1, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jan 20, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baez | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sebastian Baez | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 29% | 6/21 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–6 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | +8.8% | -8.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.76u | -1.28u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baez | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 9 | 5 |
| Distance | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tsitsipas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Baez's 50%).
| Opponent | Baez | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Brooksby | W 63 76 | W 64 76 |
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | W 64 63 | W 61 75 |
| Learner Tien | L 36 67 | L 67 67 |
| Valentin Royer | L 26 36 | W 76 75 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 26 64 | W 63 36 63 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 16 26 | L 36 67 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 64 63 | W 64 64 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 64 64 36 57 63 | W 64 76 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 16 26 | W 62 75 |
| Tomas Machac | L 62 46 16 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Jenson Brooksby
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Valentin Royer
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Damm
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex de Minaur
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Final
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–64 matches
| Metric | Baez | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 57% |
| Sets won | 53% | 57% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baez | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baez | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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