Sebastian Baez vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Sebastian Baez and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 3 times since 2022; Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On clay courts Tsitsipas leads 2–0. Tsitsipas has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Baez has taken 2 sets to Tsitsipas's 7. Their most recent meeting: Stefanos Tsitsipas won at Olympics - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Baez | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sebastian Baez | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 26/34 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 6/26 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/60 | 27% | 13/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 17/28 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 15/28 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 29/35 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 26/35 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Baez 0, Tsitsipas 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 703 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Stefanos Tsitsipas.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 31, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
May 1, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jan 20, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baez | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sebastian Baez | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 68% | 13/19 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 32% | 6/19 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 25% | 5/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 15% | 3/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 17–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.43 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | -17.4% | +19.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.95u | +4.58u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baez | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tsitsipas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Baez's 60%).
| Opponent | Baez | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Vacherot | L 46 67 | L 64 67 46 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 46 36 | W 63 64 |
| Jenson Brooksby | L 57 57 | W 64 76 |
| Alex Molcan | W 64 62 | W 26 63 64 |
| Ben Shelton | W 75 63 | L 26 36 46 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 61 | W 26 61 76 61 |
| Lloyd Harris | W 64 64 | W 67 63 76 64 |
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | W 64 63 | W 61 75 |
| Learner Tien | L 36 67 | L 67 67 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 26 64 | W 63 36 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Luciano Darderi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yoshihito Nishioka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alex Molcan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–65 matches
| Metric | Baez | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 62% |
| Sets won | 52% | 60% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baez | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baez | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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