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Head-to-Head

Matteo Arnaldi vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Matteo Arnaldi

🇮🇹Matteo Arnaldi

#38 · 25 yrs · R

2–0

2 meetings · sets 2–0

Matteo Berrettini

🇮🇹Matteo Berrettini

#46 · 30 yrs · R

Matteo Arnaldi and Matteo Berrettini have met 2 times since 2026; Matteo Arnaldi leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2026 on clay. On clay courts Arnaldi leads 2–0. Arnaldi has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Arnaldi has taken 2 sets to Berrettini's 0. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Arnaldi won at French Open - Paris (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorArnaldiBerrettini
Wins in straight sets42%65%
Wins a set when losing56%32%
Goes to a deciding set57%33%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite31%36%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog67%60%
Tiebreak sets won62%50%
Wins after taking set 187%88%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 153%76%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arnaldi 1, Berrettini 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Arnaldi

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Berrettini

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

2 career meetings, newest first

Jun 3, 2026

French Open - Paris

C Clay · Quarterfinals

Arnaldi

Jun 3, 2026

Roland Garros

C Clay · Quarterfinals

75
52
Arnaldi

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeArnaldiBerrettini
1 or more100%100%
3 or more88%100%
5 or more63%78%
10 or more13%56%
15 or more0%33%
20 or more0%11%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricArnaldiBerrettini
W-L3–54–5
Avg odds3.311.82
ROI %-27.4%-25.1%
Units P/L-2.19u-2.26u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricArnaldiBerrettini
Countries22
Events22
Matches44
Distance1,092 mi · 1,758 km1,092 mi · 1,758 km
RouteJPN → CHNJPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 10 shared opponents, both Arnaldi and Berrettini posted a 60% win rate.

OpponentArnaldiBerrettini
Aleksandar Kovacevic
W
75
64
W
67
61
64
Quentin Halys
L
63
16
67
36
W
62
64
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
W
62
63
W
63
76
76
Raphael Collignon
W
64
67
57
64
76
W
63
64
Alex de Minaur
W
46
76
64
L
16
67
Hubert Hurkacz
W
64
64
L
64
36
46
Dusan Lajovic
L
06
63
46
W
36
64
62
Alexandre Muller
L
16
76
46
W
64
62
Vit Kopriva
W
26
63
62
L
46
36
Alexander Zverev
L
46
46
L
36
46

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Arnaldi
LWLWLLLW
L

Taylor Fritz

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

57
46

Oct 10

W

Bernard Tomic

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

63
61

Oct 8

L

Carlos Alcaraz

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

667
16

Oct 3

W

Rei Sakamoto

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

26
64
64

Sep 30

L

James Duckworth

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

75
36
26
687

Aug 31

L

Martin Landaluce

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
64
46

Aug 15

L

Tallon Griekspoor

National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round

63
46
36

Aug 7

W

Fabian Marozsan

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

75
26
64

Aug 6

Berrettini
LWLWLWLW
L

Brandon Nakashima

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

647
57

Oct 9

W

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

637
61
64

Oct 7

L

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

667
16

Oct 3

W

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

16
761
64

Oct 1

L

Mariano Navone

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

63
36
46
647

Sep 3

W

Stan Wawrinka

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

764
763
60

Aug 31

L

Jiri Lehecka

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
763
36

Aug 16

W

Titouan Droguet

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

36
61
64

Aug 14

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ ArnaldiArnaldi ahead↓ Berrettini

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–49 matches

MetricArnaldiBerrettini
Matches won52%57%
Sets won50%56%
Games won49%51%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageArnaldiBerrettini
Grand Slam20

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceArnaldiBerrettini
Clay20

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Matteo Arnaldi vs Matteo Berrettini FAQ

Matteo Arnaldi leads the head-to-head 2–0 over 2 meetings.