Matteo Arnaldi vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Matteo Arnaldi and Matteo Berrettini have met 1 time since 2026; Matteo Arnaldi leads 1–0. Across all meetings Arnaldi has taken 2 sets to Berrettini's 0. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Arnaldi won at Roland Garros (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arnaldi | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Matteo Arnaldi | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 41% | 7/17 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 11/19 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 58% | 21/36 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 24% | 4/17 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 12/20 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 13/15 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 47% | 7/15 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arnaldi 1, Berrettini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matteo Berrettini.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 3, 2026
Roland Garros
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arnaldi | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Arnaldi | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 29% | 2/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -50.4% | -6.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.53u | -0.37u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Berrettini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Arnaldi's 60%).
| Opponent | Arnaldi | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Quentin Halys | L 63 16 67 36 | W 62 64 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 62 63 | W 63 76 76 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 64 67 57 64 76 | W 63 64 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 57 26 | W 67 75 61 62 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 46 76 64 | L 16 67 |
| Jaume Munar | W 63 36 63 | W 64 62 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 64 | L 64 36 46 |
| Dusan Lajovic | L 06 63 46 | W 36 64 62 |
| Alexandre Muller | L 16 76 46 | W 64 62 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 26 63 62 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Damir Dzumhur
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Federico Agustin Gomez
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–48 matches
| Metric | Arnaldi | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 56% |
| Sets won | 49% | 56% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arnaldi | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arnaldi | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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