Lorenzo Musetti vs Yoshihito NishiokaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Yoshihito Nishioka have met 4 times since 2021; Lorenzo Musetti leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Emilia-Romagna Open - Parma in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Musetti leads 2–1. Musetti has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 7 sets to Nishioka's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Nishioka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Yoshihito Nishioka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 4/17 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 20/34 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 3/10 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 26/29 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 75% | 12/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 2, Nishioka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Nishioka
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
Both Lorenzo Musetti and Yoshihito Nishioka are 🎯 Baseliner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 606 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 7, 2023
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 30, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 3, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 26, 2021
Emilia-Romagna Open - Parma
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | - |
| ROI % | -18.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.45u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | — |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nishioka's 50%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 63 57 63 | W 63 63 |
| Coleman Wong | W 64 64 | L 26 26 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 67 75 64 | W 26 61 64 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 75 76 | L 67 36 |
| Jaume Munar | W 63 60 61 | L 46 75 16 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | W 63 61 | W 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Coleman Wong
Delray Beach Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Jurij Rodionov
Davis Cup, World Group, Q, JPN-AUT 2-3 · Rubber 5
Feb 7
Kyrian Jacquet
Canberra Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 5
Jason Jung
Kobe Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 11
James Duckworth
Taipei Challenger · Final
Nov 9
James McCabe
Taipei Challenger · Semifinals
Nov 8
Akira Santillan
Taipei Challenger · Quarterfinals
Nov 7
Jason Jung
Taipei Challenger · 2nd Round
Nov 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–52 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 70% |
| Sets won | 62% | 67% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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