Lorenzo Musetti vs Yoshihito NishiokaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Yoshihito Nishioka have met 4 times since 2021; Lorenzo Musetti leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Emilia-Romagna Open - Parma in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Musetti leads 2–1. Musetti has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 7 sets to Nishioka's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Nishioka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Yoshihito Nishioka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 16/22 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 4/16 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 10/38 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 15/27 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 73% | 11/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 2, Nishioka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Nishioka
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 7, 2023
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 30, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 3, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 26, 2021
Emilia-Romagna Open - Parma
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 4.47 |
| ROI % | -28.7% | -10.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.16u | -0.31u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Musetti and Nishioka posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Musetti | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Yi Zhou | L 67 63 67 | W 75 76 |
| Coleman Wong | W 64 64 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Coleman Wong
Delray Beach Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Jurij Rodionov
Davis Cup, World Group, Q, JPN-AUT 2-3 · Rubber 5
Feb 7
George Loffhagen
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 14
Nerman Fatic
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–43 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 70% |
| Sets won | 59% | 67% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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