Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Yoshihito NishiokaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇨🇦Felix Auger-Aliassime
#5 · 26 yrs · R
8 meetings · sets 12–10

🇯🇵Yoshihito Nishioka
#218 · 31 yrs · L
Felix Auger-Aliassime and Yoshihito Nishioka have met 8 times since 2015; they are level 4–4. Their first meeting came at Granby in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Nishioka leads 3–2. On clay courts Auger-Aliassime leads 2–1. Across all meetings Auger-Aliassime has taken 12 sets to Nishioka's 10. Their most recent meeting: Yoshihito Nishioka won at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Auger-Aliassime | Nishioka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Felix Auger-Aliassime | Yoshihito Nishioka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 25/40 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 3/16 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 18/56 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 66% | 23/35 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 31/33 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 25/33 | 73% | 11/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Auger-Aliassime 2, Nishioka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Auger-Aliassime
🤖 Servebot
Nishioka
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 1,590 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Felix Auger-Aliassime.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Sep 26, 2024
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
May 27, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 25, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 10, 2022
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 23, 2020
bett1HULKS Championships - Cologne
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 28, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 11, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 18, 2015
Granby
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–3 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 4.47 |
| ROI % | -11.2% | -10.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.12u | -0.31u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Auger-Aliassime and Nishioka posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Auger-Aliassime | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | W 63 61 64 | W 62 64 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 63 75 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Arthur Rinderknech
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Quentin Halys
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rinky Hijikata
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Coleman Wong
Delray Beach Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Jurij Rodionov
Davis Cup, World Group, Q, JPN-AUT 2-3 · Rubber 5
Feb 7
George Loffhagen
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 14
Nerman Fatic
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–68 matches
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 70% |
| Sets won | 64% | 67% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Auger-Aliassime | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Auger-Aliassime | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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