Andrey Rublev vs Yoshihito NishiokaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Yoshihito Nishioka have met 6 times since 2019; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Sydney in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Nishioka leads 3–2. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 7 sets to Nishioka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Yoshihito Nishioka won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Nishioka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Yoshihito Nishioka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 75% | 12/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 3, Nishioka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Nishioka
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Oct 4, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 31, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 30, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Aug 6, 2022
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 3, 2021
ATP Cup - Melbourne
H Hard · Round Robin
Jan 9, 2019
Sydney
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | - |
| ROI % | -22.6% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nishioka's 0%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Luciano Darderi | W 64 63 | L 67 36 |
| Coleman Wong | W 26 64 63 46 63 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Coleman Wong
Delray Beach Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Jurij Rodionov
Davis Cup, World Group, Q, JPN-AUT 2-3 · Rubber 5
Feb 7
Kyrian Jacquet
Canberra Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 5
Jason Jung
Kobe Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 11
James Duckworth
Taipei Challenger · Final
Nov 9
James McCabe
Taipei Challenger · Semifinals
Nov 8
Akira Santillan
Taipei Challenger · Quarterfinals
Nov 7
Jason Jung
Taipei Challenger · 2nd Round
Nov 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–52 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 70% |
| Sets won | 56% | 67% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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