Andrey Rublev vs Yoshihito NishiokaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Yoshihito Nishioka have met 6 times since 2019; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Sydney in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Nishioka leads 3–2. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 7 sets to Nishioka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Yoshihito Nishioka won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Nishioka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Yoshihito Nishioka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 73% | 11/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 3, Nishioka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Nishioka
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Oct 4, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 31, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 30, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Aug 6, 2022
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 3, 2021
ATP Cup - Melbourne
H Hard · Round Robin
Jan 9, 2019
Sydney
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 4.47 |
| ROI % | -12.3% | -10.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.33u | -0.31u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nishioka's 0%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Kyrian Jacquet | W 76 61 | L 62 16 57 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 63 76 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Coleman Wong
Delray Beach Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Jurij Rodionov
Davis Cup, World Group, Q, JPN-AUT 2-3 · Rubber 5
Feb 7
George Loffhagen
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 14
Nerman Fatic
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–57 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 70% |
| Sets won | 58% | 67% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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