Frances Tiafoe vs Yoshihito NishiokaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Yoshihito Nishioka have met 7 times since 2016; Frances Tiafoe leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at Winnetka in 2016 on hard. On hard courts they are level 3–3. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Nishioka leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 10 sets to Nishioka's 7. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Nishioka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Yoshihito Nishioka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 17/27 | 75% | 12/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 2, Nishioka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Nishioka
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Aug 25, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 6, 2025
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 26, 2024
Atlanta Open - Atlanta
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 27, 2023
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 10, 2021
Rogers Cup - Toronto
H Hard · 1st Round
May 2, 2019
Estoril
C Clay · Round of 16
Jul 9, 2016
Winnetka
H Hard · Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | - |
| ROI % | +31.0% | - |
| Units P/L | +6.20u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Tiafoe and Nishioka posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 62 62 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Coleman Wong
Delray Beach Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Jurij Rodionov
Davis Cup, World Group, Q, JPN-AUT 2-3 · Rubber 5
Feb 7
Kyrian Jacquet
Canberra Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 5
Jason Jung
Kobe Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 11
James Duckworth
Taipei Challenger · Final
Nov 9
James McCabe
Taipei Challenger · Semifinals
Nov 8
Akira Santillan
Taipei Challenger · Quarterfinals
Nov 7
Jason Jung
Taipei Challenger · 2nd Round
Nov 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–56 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 70% |
| Sets won | 59% | 67% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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