🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#13 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 0–8
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#5 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Jessica Pegula have met 4 times since 2021; Jessica Pegula leads 4–0. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Riyadh Finals (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 800 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
4 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paolini | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jasmine Paolini | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 60% | 3/5 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/11 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | -28.0% | -5.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.80u | -0.99u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Paolini's 40%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 16 | W |
| Dayana Yastremska | W 75 63 | W 57 62 63 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 61 62 | L |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 26 26 | W 64 60 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 67 62 63 | W 76 62 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 57 36 | W 64 46 76 |
| Katie Boulter | W 06 63 63 | W 64 64 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 67 | W 64 57 63 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 75 26 57 | W 46 63 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | L 62 36 46 |
Last five matches per player
Sandy Sierra
French Open ·
May 27
Solana Sierra
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Solana Sierra
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 25
Dayana Yastremska
French Open ·
May 25
Dayana Yastremska
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Dayana Yastremska
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Elise Mertens
Rome · Round of 32
May 5
Leolia Jeanjean
Rome · Round of 64
May 5
Linda Noskova
Berlin ·
Jun 21
Aryna Sabalenka
Berlin ·
Jun 20
Madison Keys
Berlin ·
Jun 19
Katerina Siniakova
Berlin ·
Jun 17
Kimberly Birrell
French Open ·
May 26
Kimberly Birrell
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kimberly Birrell
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Iga Swiatek
Rome WTA ·
May 13
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–65 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 74% |
| Sets won | 54% | 66% |
| Games won | 52% | 57% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| WTA Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
