Jannik Sinner and Tommy Paul have met 5 times since 2022; Jannik Sinner leads 4–1. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at ATP Masters 1000 Rome (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 483 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Jannik Sinner.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
5 career meetings, newest first
May 16, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Semifinals
Sep 2, 2024
US Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 12, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 22, 2022
Eastbourne
G Grass · Round of 16
May 2, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sinner | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jannik Sinner | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 81% | 17/21 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 12/21 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/17 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 20–1 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.14 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | +9.3% | +9.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.95u | +1.59u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Paul's 50%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Casper Ruud | W 64 64 | L 64 76 46 67 57 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 62 | W 26 63 63 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 60 62 | W 62 75 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 61 63 76 | L 63 36 26 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 63 64 | L 61 57 46 57 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 61 61 63 | W 64 62 |
| Elmer Moller | W 62 63 | W 63 63 61 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 76 63 | L 67 46 57 |
| Tomas Machac | W 61 67 63 | L 62 36 36 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 62 62 | W 75 46 76 |
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Clement Tabur
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Final
May 17
Daniil Medvedev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 16
Andrey Rublev
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 14
Andrea Pellegrino
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Alexei Popyrin
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 11
Sebastian Ofner
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 9
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Casper Ruud
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Rinky Hijikata
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Alex de Minaur
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Semifinals
May 22
Daniel Altmaier
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 21
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–80 matches
| Metric | Sinner | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 94% | 70% |
| Sets won | 88% | 65% |
| Games won | 64% | 55% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sinner | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 3 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sinner | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
