Jannik Sinner vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jannik Sinner and Tommy Paul have met 5 times since 2022; Jannik Sinner leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Sinner leads 2–0. On hard courts Sinner leads 2–0. Sinner has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sinner has taken 10 sets to Paul's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sinner | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jannik Sinner | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 91% | 42/46 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 100% | 1/1 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 11% | 5/47 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 89% | 42/47 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 100% | 4/4 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 12/15 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 44/44 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 95% | 42/44 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sinner 1, Paul 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tommy Paul.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 16, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Semifinals
Sep 2, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Aug 13, 2023
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 22, 2022
Viking International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 2nd Round
May 2, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.81 |
| ROI % | - | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sinner | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | — | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Paul's 40%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 76 63 | L 46 36 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 64 64 | W 64 36 67 61 63 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 62 76 | L 62 36 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 67 76 63 64 | W 46 76 64 |
| Learner Tien | W 61 62 | L 36 26 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 63 64 | W 46 64 76 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 46 63 67 62 63 | L 75 46 46 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 75 61 | L 76 46 36 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 63 60 | W 63 63 |
| Casper Ruud | W 64 64 | L 64 76 46 67 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Alexander Bublik
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–61 matches
| Metric | Sinner | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 95% | 69% |
| Sets won | 89% | 64% |
| Games won | 62% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sinner | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sinner | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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