Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jannik Sinner and Sebastian Baez have met 3 times since 2023; Jannik Sinner leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Sinner leads 3–0. Sinner has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sinner has taken 7 sets to Baez's 1. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Davis Cup, World Group, QF, ITA-ARG 2-1 (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sinner | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jannik Sinner | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 91% | 42/46 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 100% | 1/1 | 22% | 6/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 11% | 5/47 | 23% | 14/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 89% | 42/47 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 52% | 15/29 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 12/15 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 44/44 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 95% | 42/44 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sinner 1, Baez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs 🎾 All-Court across 281 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jannik Sinner.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Nov 21, 2024
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, ITA-ARG 2-1
H Hard · Rubber 2
Jan 19, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 8, 2023
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 9–9 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.40 |
| ROI % | - | -11.4% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.05u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sinner | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Baez's 10%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 63 64 | L 57 57 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 63 62 57 16 16 | L |
| Learner Tien | W 61 62 | L 36 67 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 64 62 | L 63 36 26 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 46 63 67 62 63 | W 63 36 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 62 64 | L 16 26 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 75 76 63 | L 16 67 64 62 57 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 75 76 | L 57 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 62 57 64 | L 46 06 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 64 64 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–66 matches
| Metric | Sinner | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 95% | 53% |
| Sets won | 89% | 52% |
| Games won | 62% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sinner | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sinner | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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