Jack Draper vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jack Draper and Sebastian Baez have met 3 times since 2023; Jack Draper leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo in 2023 on clay. Draper has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Draper has taken 7 sets to Baez's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jack Draper won at Wimbledon (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Draper | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jack Draper | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 6/8 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 4/14 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 6/12 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 1/2 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 6/6 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 6/6 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Draper 2, Baez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Draper
💥 Big Hitter
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 620 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 1, 2025
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Jan 8, 2024
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 10, 2023
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Draper | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jack Draper | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Draper | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.37 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -34.5% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.07u | +1.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Draper | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 2 | 9 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Draper's 25%).
| Opponent | Draper | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 57 76 46 | W 76 26 64 |
| Marcos Giron | W 64 76 | W 61 64 |
| Reilly Opelka | L 67 67 | L 36 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 16 57 | L 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Semifinals
Jun 26
Gabriel Diallo
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Jack Pinnington Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Reilly Opelka
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Daniil Medvedev
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · Quarterfinals
Mar 12
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–64 matches
| Metric | Draper | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 55% |
| Sets won | 56% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Draper | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Draper | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.