Francisco Cerundolo vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francisco Cerundolo and Lorenzo Musetti have met 5 times since 2020; Lorenzo Musetti leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Cordenons Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Musetti leads 3–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Cerundolo leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 4 sets to Musetti's 7. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cerundolo | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Cerundolo | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 17/28 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 9/18 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 21/31 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cerundolo 1, Musetti 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Musetti.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 10, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Nov 21, 2024
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, ITA-ARG 2-1
H Hard · Rubber 1
Jul 27, 2024
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag
C Clay · Final
Jul 23, 2022
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay · Semifinals
Sep 3, 2020
Cordenons Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Cerundolo | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | -18.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.85u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 7 |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Cerundolo's 50%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Jaume Munar | L 16 46 36 | W 63 60 61 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 63 46 36 | W 75 36 75 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 60 62 | L 36 62 67 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 63 | W 75 76 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 61 75 | W 76 75 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 75 06 26 | L 46 57 |
| Tomas Machac | L 67 36 | W 57 64 62 57 62 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 75 | W 67 62 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 63 76 63 | W 67 75 64 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 46 26 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jaume Munar
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 21
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 20
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–54 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 65% |
| Sets won | 59% | 62% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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