Francisco Cerundolo vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francisco Cerundolo and Lorenzo Musetti have met 5 times since 2020; Lorenzo Musetti leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Cordenons Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Musetti leads 3–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Cerundolo leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 4 sets to Musetti's 7. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cerundolo | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Cerundolo | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 22/30 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 6/18 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 14/48 | 26% | 10/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 17/27 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 22/32 | 73% | 16/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cerundolo 1, Musetti 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 10, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Nov 21, 2024
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, ITA-ARG 2-1
H Hard · Rubber 1
Jul 27, 2024
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag
C Clay · Final
Jul 23, 2022
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay · Semifinals
Sep 3, 2020
Cordenons Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Cerundolo | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 5 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | +14.1% | -28.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | -3.16u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 1 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Cerundolo's 50%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Casper Ruud | L 76 46 810 | L 36 16 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 36 46 63 64 64 | W 62 75 64 |
| Arthur Fery | W 76 36 64 | W 63 63 75 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 63 46 36 | W 75 36 75 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 61 75 | W 76 75 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 75 06 26 | L 46 57 |
| Tomas Machac | L 67 36 | W 57 64 62 57 62 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 75 | W 67 62 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 63 76 63 | W 67 75 64 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 46 26 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jakub Mensik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Botic van de Zandschulp
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Casper Ruud
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Mert Alkaya
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Yanki Erel
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–60 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 60% |
| Sets won | 60% | 59% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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