Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Matteo Berrettini have met 3 times since 2018; Matteo Berrettini leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Rome in 2018 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 3 sets to Berrettini's 5. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 17/27 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 0, Berrettini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 23, 2024
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 15, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
May 5, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 20/20 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 12/20 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 2/20 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 25% | 2/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | +31.0% | +2.9% |
| Units P/L | +6.20u | +0.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Tiafoe and Berrettini posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 36 61 06 | W 64 75 36 63 |
| Learner Tien | W 64 46 64 | L 75 26 36 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 67 | L 46 76 36 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 64 67 67 64 36 | W 64 64 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 67 76 63 67 46 | L 57 25 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 63 46 62 | W 76 57 67 64 76 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 64 67 64 | L 64 36 46 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 63 16 57 | W 67 75 61 62 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 67 67 | L 67 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 67 63 62 | L 67 76 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–56 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 56% |
| Sets won | 59% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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