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Head-to-Head

Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Frances Tiafoe

🇺🇸Frances Tiafoe

#10 · 28 yrs · R

1–2

3 meetings · sets 3–5

Matteo Berrettini

🇮🇹Matteo Berrettini

#46 · 30 yrs · R

Frances Tiafoe and Matteo Berrettini have met 3 times since 2018; Matteo Berrettini leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Rome in 2018 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 3 sets to Berrettini's 5. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2024).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorTiafoeBerrettini
Wins in straight sets61%67%
Wins a set when losing36%32%
Goes to a deciding set38%33%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite54%38%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog68%60%
Tiebreak sets won50%50%
Wins after taking set 196%89%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 171%78%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 0, Berrettini 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Tiafoe

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Berrettini

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Oct 23, 2024

Erste Bank Open - Vienna

H Hard · 2nd Round

36
766
36
Berrettini

Aug 15, 2022

Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · 1st Round

763
46
765
Tiafoe

May 5, 2018

ATP Masters 1000 Rome

C Clay · Round of 64

36
6177
Berrettini

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeTiafoeBerrettini
1 or more100%100%
3 or more89%100%
5 or more56%78%
10 or more17%56%
15 or more0%33%
20 or more0%11%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricTiafoeBerrettini
W-L13–54–5
Avg odds2.041.82
ROI %+23.4%-25.1%
Units P/L+4.21u-2.26u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricTiafoeBerrettini
Countries22
Events22
Matches44
Distance1,092 mi · 1,758 km1,092 mi · 1,758 km
RouteJPN → CHNJPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Berrettini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Tiafoe's 50%).

OpponentTiafoeBerrettini
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
L
67
64
67
W
16
76
64
Brandon Nakashima
W
75
63
L
67
57
Aleksandar Kovacevic
W
64
36
76
W
67
61
64
Arthur Fils
L
36
57
W
64
75
36
63
Daniil Medvedev
W
76
64
76
W
60
60
Valentin Vacherot
W
64
62
64
L
67
46
Learner Tien
W
64
46
64
L
75
26
36
Jiri Lehecka
L
46
67
L
46
76
36
Arthur Rinderknech
L
W
64
64
64
Alexander Bublik
L
64
67
67
64
36
W
64
64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Tiafoe
LWLWLWWW
L

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

647
64
667

Oct 11

W

Yannick Hanfmann

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

64
64

Oct 9

L

Arthur Fils

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

36
57

Oct 2

W

Kei Nishikori

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

64
64

Oct 1

L

Ben Shelton

U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals

64
36
36
57

Sep 11

W

Alex Michelsen

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

57
36
75
63
766

Sep 8

W

Daniil Medvedev

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

761
64
76

Sep 6

W

Valentin Vacherot

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

64
62
64

Sep 5

Berrettini
LWLWLWLW
L

Brandon Nakashima

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

647
57

Oct 9

W

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

637
61
64

Oct 7

L

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

667
16

Oct 3

W

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

16
761
64

Oct 1

L

Mariano Navone

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

63
36
46
647

Sep 3

W

Stan Wawrinka

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

764
763
60

Aug 31

L

Jiri Lehecka

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
763
36

Aug 16

W

Titouan Droguet

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

36
61
64

Aug 14

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ TiafoeBerrettini ahead↓ Berrettini

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–63 matches

MetricTiafoeBerrettini
Matches won71%58%
Sets won63%57%
Games won54%52%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageTiafoeBerrettini
ATP 50001
ATP Masters 100011

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceTiafoeBerrettini
Hard11
Clay01

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Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Berrettini FAQ

Matteo Berrettini leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.