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Head-to-Head

Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Frances Tiafoe

🇺🇸Frances Tiafoe

#12 · 28 yrs · R

4
1–2

3 meetings · sets 3–5

Matteo Berrettini

🇮🇹Matteo Berrettini

#43 · 30 yrs · R

Frances Tiafoe and Matteo Berrettini have met 3 times since 2018; Matteo Berrettini leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Rome in 2018 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 3 sets to Berrettini's 5. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2024).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorTiafoeBerrettini
Wins in straight sets57%75%
Wins a set when losing38%30%
Goes to a deciding set41%28%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite50%38%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog65%60%
Tiebreak sets won58%50%
Wins after taking set 189%89%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 163%79%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 0, Berrettini 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Tiafoe

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Berrettini

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Oct 23, 2024

Erste Bank Open - Vienna

H Hard · 2nd Round

36
766
36
Berrettini

Aug 15, 2022

Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · 1st Round

763
46
765
Tiafoe

May 5, 2018

ATP Masters 1000 Rome

C Clay · Round of 64

36
6177
Berrettini

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeTiafoeBerrettini
1 or more100%100%
3 or more95%100%
5 or more58%71%
10 or more11%43%
15 or more0%43%
20 or more0%29%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricTiafoeBerrettini
W-L15–43–3
Avg odds1.921.89
ROI %+37.9%-6.2%
Units P/L+7.20u-0.37u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricTiafoeBerrettini
Countries22
Events22
Matches63
Distance712 mi · 1,146 km712 mi · 1,146 km
RouteCAN → USACAN → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 10 shared opponents, both Tiafoe and Berrettini posted a 40% win rate.

OpponentTiafoeBerrettini
Arthur Fils
L
36
61
06
W
64
75
36
63
Learner Tien
W
64
46
64
L
75
26
36
Jiri Lehecka
L
46
67
L
46
76
36
Alexander Bublik
L
64
67
67
64
36
W
64
64
Matteo Arnaldi
L
67
76
63
67
46
L
57
25
Francisco Comesana
W
64
63
46
62
W
76
57
67
64
76
Hubert Hurkacz
W
67
76
64
67
64
L
64
36
46
Marton Fucsovics
L
63
16
57
W
67
75
61
62
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
L
67
67
L
67
46
Ignacio Buse
W
67
63
62
L
67
76
46

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Tiafoe
LWWWWWWL
L

Arthur Fils

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final

36
61
06

Aug 23

W

Brandon Nakashima

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

75
63

Aug 23

W

Lorenzo Musetti

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

762
75

Aug 22

W

Felix Auger Aliassime

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

63
64

Aug 20

W

Learner Tien

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

64
46
64

Aug 19

W

Lorenzo Sonego

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
64

Aug 17

W

Marin Cilic

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

57
62
62

Aug 5

L

Terence Atmane

Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round

64
36
46

Jul 28

Berrettini
LWLLWWLW
L

Jiri Lehecka

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
763
36

Aug 16

W

Titouan Droguet

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

36
61
64

Aug 14

L

Mariano Navone

National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round

36
765
36

Aug 3

L

Grigor Dimitrov

Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round

36
46
63
75
36

Jul 4

W

Arthur Fils

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

64
75
36
63

Jul 2

W

Stan Wawrinka

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

677
7616
767
765

Jun 30

L

Matteo Arnaldi

Roland Garros · Quarterfinals

57
25

Jun 3

W

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

French Open - Paris · 4th Round

63
762
766

Jun 1

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ TiafoeBerrettini ahead↓ Berrettini

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–56 matches

MetricTiafoeBerrettini
Matches won66%56%
Sets won59%56%
Games won53%51%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageTiafoeBerrettini
ATP World Tour 50001
ATP World Tour Masters 100010
ATP Masters 100001

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceTiafoeBerrettini
Hard11
Clay01

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Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Berrettini FAQ

Matteo Berrettini leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.