Elise Mertens vs Karolina MuchovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–4
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
7wElise Mertens and Karolina Muchova have met 3 times since 2020; Karolina Muchova leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Muchova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 3 sets to Muchova's 4. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Muchova won at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Karolina Muchova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 63% | 25/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 38% | 20/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 74% | 25/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Muchova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Muchova
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Elise Mertens and Karolina Muchova are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 16, 2026
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 15, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Oct 22, 2020
J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Karolina Muchova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 8–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | +16.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | +1.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Mertens's 50%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 26 | W 76 64 |
| Anna Bondar | W 36 64 64 | W 75 62 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 57 | L 26 75 36 |
| Coco Gauff | L 62 67 36 | W 62 16 76 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 57 61 75 | W 75 57 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | L 57 16 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 36 36 | W 64 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | W 60 62 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 63 36 63 | W 75 76 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 26 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Barbora Krejcikova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Shuai Zhang
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · Semifinals
Jun 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–53 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 75% |
| Sets won | 58% | 67% |
| Games won | 54% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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