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Head-to-Head

Elena Rybakina vs Elise MertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Elena Rybakina

🇰🇿Elena Rybakina

#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed

8
7–2

9 meetings · sets 14–6

Elise Mertens

🇧🇪Elise Mertens

#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed

Elena Rybakina and Elise Mertens have met 9 times since 2020; Elena Rybakina leads 7–2. Their first meeting came at Shenzhen Open - Shenzhen in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 6–0. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 14 sets to Mertens's 6. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Wimbledon - London (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorRybakinaMertens
Wins in straight sets68%72%
Wins a set when losing62%35%
Goes to a deciding set37%31%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite60%58%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog71%42%
Tiebreak sets won53%57%
Wins after taking set 194%85%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 180%78%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 7 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 5, Mertens 2).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Rybakina

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Mertens

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

9 career meetings, newest first

Jul 4, 2026

Wimbledon - London

G Grass · 3rd Round

647
16
Mertens

Jan 26, 2026

Australian Open - Melbourne

H Hard · 4th Round

61
63
Rybakina

Aug 11, 2025

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · 3rd Round

46
63
75
Rybakina

Jun 1, 2024

French Open - Paris

C Clay · 3rd Round

64
62
Rybakina

Jan 4, 2024

Brisbane International - Brisbane

H Hard · 3rd Round

61
60
Rybakina

Mar 27, 2023

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 4th Round

64
63
Rybakina

Aug 18, 2021

Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · 2nd Round

63
62
Rybakina

May 2, 2021

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

C Clay · 2nd Round

647
57
Mertens

Jan 9, 2020

Shenzhen Open - Shenzhen

H Hard · Quarterfinals

64
46
62
Rybakina

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeRybakinaMertens
1 or more100%100%
3 or more73%64%
5 or more73%43%
10 or more27%7%
15 or more13%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricRybakinaMertens
W-L11–39–5
Avg odds1.321.84
ROI %+6.4%+12.4%
Units P/L+0.90u+1.73u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricRybakinaMertens
Countries23
Events23
Matches87
Distance411 mi · 662 km1,715 mi · 2,760 km
RouteCAN → POLCAN → POL → AUT

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Mertens's 40%).

OpponentRybakinaMertens
Yuliia Starodubtseva
L
63
16
67
W
61
64
Coco Gauff
W
57
62
62
L
62
67
36
Naomi Osaka
W
46
76
64
L
16
26
Liudmila Samsonova
W
64
46
64
W
16
63
60
Daria Kasatkina
W
63
57
64
L
46
06
Linda Noskova
W
63
64
L
36
57
Alexandra Eala
L
57
46
W
63
63
Tatjana Maria
W
67
75
60
W
75
60
Elena Gabriela Ruse
W
46
63
75
L
36
36
Karolina Pliskova
W
60
62
L
57
62
67

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Rybakina
WWWWWWWW
W

Diana Shnaider

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

64
64

Aug 20

W

Magdalena Frech

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

64
762

Aug 17

W

Taylor Townsend

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
64

Aug 16

W

Coco Gauff

National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals

57
62
62

Aug 13

W

Naomi Osaka

National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals

46
765
64

Aug 12

W

Liudmila Samsonova

National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round

64
46
64

Aug 9

W

Ann Li

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

62
75

Aug 7

W

Daria Kasatkina

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

63
57
64

Aug 5

Mertens
LWWWLLWL
L

Diane Parry

Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final

46
60
36

Aug 30

W

Nikola Bartunkova

Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals

16
64
62

Aug 29

W

Yuliia Starodubtseva

Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals

61
64

Aug 28

W

Panna Udvardy

Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round

61
46
63

Aug 27

L

Diane Parry

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

62
26
26

Aug 16

L

Naomi Osaka

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

16
26

Aug 8

W

Anna Bondar

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

36
64
64

Aug 5

L

Linda Noskova

Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals

36
57

Jul 8

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ RybakinaRybakina ahead↓ Mertens

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–70 matches

MetricRybakinaMertens
Matches won81%59%
Sets won73%58%
Games won58%54%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageRybakinaMertens
Grand Slam21
WTA 50010
WTA 100031
Other10

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceRybakinaMertens
Hard60
Clay11
Grass01

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Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens FAQ

Elena Rybakina leads the head-to-head 7–2 over 9 meetings.