Elena Rybakina vs Elise MertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
9 meetings · sets 14–6
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Elena Rybakina and Elise Mertens have met 9 times since 2020; Elena Rybakina leads 7–2. Their first meeting came at Shenzhen Open - Shenzhen in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 6–0. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 14 sets to Mertens's 6. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Elise Mertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 40/60 | 71% | 24/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 27/72 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 39/64 | 55% | 21/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 47/51 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 40/51 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 7 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 5, Mertens 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Jul 4, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Jan 26, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Aug 11, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 1, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jan 4, 2024
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 27, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 4th Round
Aug 18, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 2, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 9, 2020
Shenzhen Open - Shenzhen
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Elise Mertens | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–2 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +28.5% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | +3.74u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km |
| Route | ROU | SGP → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Mertens's 60%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | W 36 61 64 | L 57 26 |
| Iga Swiatek | L | W 76 63 |
| Coco Gauff | W 36 64 64 | W 63 63 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 61 64 | L 36 63 57 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 76 63 | W 61 64 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 64 46 64 | W 16 63 60 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 63 57 64 | L 46 06 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 46 | W 63 63 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 67 75 60 | W 75 60 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 46 63 75 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–72 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 62% |
| Sets won | 74% | 59% |
| Games won | 58% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 6 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.