Cristina Bucsa vs Elise MertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Cristina Bucsa
#40 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 4–8
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Cristina Bucsa and Elise Mertens have met 5 times since 2024; Elise Mertens leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at China Open - Beijing in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Mertens leads 3–2. Mertens has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bucsa has taken 4 sets to Mertens's 8. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bucsa | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cristina Bucsa | Elise Mertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 13/16 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 10/36 | 31% | 15/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 6/15 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 78% | 21/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bucsa 0, Mertens 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bucsa
🏹 Frontrunner
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Mar 7, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 14, 2025
Japan Open - Osaka
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 29, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 11, 2025
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 30, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bucsa | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cristina Bucsa | Elise Mertens | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bucsa | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 9–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | -36.7% | +12.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.20u | +1.73u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bucsa | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Bucsa's 33%).
| Opponent | Bucsa | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Panna Udvardy | W 62 16 75 | W 61 46 63 |
| Anna Bondar | W 64 63 | W 36 64 64 |
| Maja Chwalinska | L 26 26 | L 46 06 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | L 36 46 | W 63 61 |
| Polina Kudermetova | L 75 67 06 | W 76 63 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 75 64 | W 46 76 63 |
| Ella Seidel | L 16 46 | W 63 64 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 57 76 26 | W 63 36 63 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 63 57 36 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Darja Vidmanova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Anna Bondar
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Panna Udvardy
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Polina Kudermetova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Susan Bandecchi
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Shuai Zhang
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · 1st Round
May 19
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–49 matches
| Metric | Bucsa | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 59% |
| Sets won | 48% | 58% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bucsa | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bucsa | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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