Cristina Bucsa vs Elise MertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Cristina Bucsa
#38 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
35 meetings · sets 4–8
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Cristina Bucsa and Elise Mertens have met 5 times since 2024; Elise Mertens leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at China Open - Beijing in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Mertens leads 3–2. Mertens has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bucsa has taken 4 sets to Mertens's 8. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bucsa | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cristina Bucsa | Elise Mertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 71% | 24/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 12/41 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 8/19 | 55% | 21/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 15/22 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bucsa 0, Mertens 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bucsa
🏹 Frontrunner
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Mar 7, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 14, 2025
Japan Open - Osaka
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 29, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 11, 2025
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 30, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bucsa | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cristina Bucsa | Elise Mertens | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bucsa | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.88 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +8.1% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.14u | +3.74u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bucsa | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 7,530 mi · 12,118 km | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km |
| Route | UKR → ROU | SGP → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Bucsa's 40%).
| Opponent | Bucsa | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | L 67 26 | L 57 26 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 46 | W 63 63 |
| Maja Chwalinska | L 26 26 | L 26 26 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 64 64 | W 61 46 63 |
| Bianca Andreescu | W 64 63 | W 61 62 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | L | W 61 64 |
| Anna Bondar | W 64 63 | W 36 64 64 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | L 36 46 | W 63 61 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 75 64 | W 46 76 63 |
| Ella Seidel | L 16 46 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xinran Sun
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Iva Jovic
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Semifinals
Sep 18
Sara Bejlek
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Panna Udvardy
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 15
Bianca Andreescu
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 13
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Himeno Sakatsume
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Sara Bejlek
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–55 matches
| Metric | Bucsa | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 62% |
| Sets won | 50% | 59% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bucsa | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bucsa | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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