Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Karolina MuchovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#24 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 4–5
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Karolina Muchova have met 4 times since 2019; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Moscow in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Muchova leads 2–1. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 4 sets to Muchova's 5. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Muchova won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Karolina Muchova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 16/23 | 66% | 27/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 19/50 | 33% | 18/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 12/30 | 53% | 20/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 10/17 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 94% | 33/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 77% | 27/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 1, Muchova 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Muchova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Ekaterina Alexandrova and Karolina Muchova are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,080 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 8, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 1, 2025
Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz
H Hard · Semifinals
Apr 20, 2021
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 18, 2019
Moscow
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Karolina Muchova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 1.27 |
| ROI % | +37.6% | -10.1% |
| Units P/L | +5.26u | -0.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Alexandrova and Muchova posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | W 62 62 | L 26 75 36 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 26 | W 75 16 76 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 36 64 63 | L 62 16 26 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 61 64 | W 62 64 |
| Clara Tauson | L 67 64 36 | W 16 62 64 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 63 06 36 | W 64 26 64 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 76 46 64 | L 36 46 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 63 76 | W 46 62 75 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W | L 36 26 |
| Camila Osorio | L 26 46 | W 46 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leylah Fernandez
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Diana Shnaider
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Kimberly Birrell
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Liudmila Samsonova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Katie Boulter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Katie Boulter
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sinja Kraus
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–54 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 76% |
| Sets won | 49% | 68% |
| Games won | 50% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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