Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Karolina MuchovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#19 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 4–5
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
7wEkaterina Alexandrova and Karolina Muchova have met 4 times since 2019; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Moscow in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Muchova leads 2–1. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 4 sets to Muchova's 5. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Muchova won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Karolina Muchova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 17/23 | 64% | 25/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/51 | 37% | 19/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 14/33 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 17/24 | 74% | 25/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 1, Muchova 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Muchova
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 8, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 1, 2025
Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz
H Hard · Semifinals
Apr 20, 2021
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 18, 2019
Moscow
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Karolina Muchova | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 8–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | +16.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.32u | +1.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Alexandrova's 30%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Clara Tauson | L 67 64 36 | W 16 62 64 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 63 06 36 | W 64 26 64 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 76 46 64 | L 36 46 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 63 76 | W 46 62 75 |
| Linda Noskova | L 16 16 | L 26 75 36 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 26 | W 76 64 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | L 57 26 | W 75 57 63 |
| Camila Osorio | L 26 46 | W 46 62 75 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | L 57 16 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 63 62 | W 75 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Talia Gibson
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Iva Jovic
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Barbora Krejcikova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Shuai Zhang
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · Semifinals
Jun 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–52 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 75% |
| Sets won | 49% | 67% |
| Games won | 50% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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